Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, June 19, 2021

June 19, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Kiss and Run 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Giggle Factory 3.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Princess Pinky 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Sengekontacket 3.00 5 10-1
7 7 Joqular 4.50 5.2 10-1
10 10 Better With Age 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Double Happiness 6.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Gray Destiny 6.00 6 11-1
2 2 Seahorse d’Oro 15.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Magical Romance 50.00 9.7 18-1
11 11 No Down Days 8.00 SCRATCH
12A 12 Blue Paynt 2.50 SCRATCH
13A 13 Baba 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Yankee Division 1.60 2.2 4-1
2 1 Royal Realm 6.00 2.9 6-1
5 4 Dust Devil 4.00 3 6-1
3 2 Arham 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 3 Fort Worth 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Johnny Sack 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Flower Point 2.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Gogo Shoes 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Cost Benefit (GB) 4.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Saratoga Affair 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Katama Moonlight 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Kansas Kis 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Malibu Mischief 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Hotsy Totsy (IRE) 15.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 True Castle 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 L’Indiscret 5.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Ms Boombastic 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Ocean Air 3.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Hohohoho 5.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Mirabell Mei 6.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Summer in the City 4.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Suspended Campaign 10.00 7 13-1
10 10 Emma and I 15.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Cherokee Song 20.00 9.2 17-1
11 11 Entwine (IRE) 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Amity Island 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Easter Chocolate 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Summer At the Spa 20.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 7 Combination 1.00 2.2 4-1
12 8 Strolling 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 5 Runaway Lute 6.00 3 6-1
4 2 Sicilia Mike 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 6 Hooray for Harvey 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 3 Tale of Mist 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 1 Summer Bourbon 30.00 6.8 13-1
6 4 Professor Snape 50.00 8.2 15-1
1A 1 Vicar’s Legend 30.00 SCRATCH
2A 9 Manifest Destiny 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 The Great Dansky 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Hawaiian Noises 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – New York Stallion S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Proper Grammar 5.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Sport Model 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Ava’s Grace 2.50 4.5 9-1
3 3 Shaker Shack 4.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Lot of Honey 15.00 5 9-1
5 5 Funwhileitlasted 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Big Time Lady 10.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Shesadirtydancer 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Adriatic Rose 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Show Me the Honey 8.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Beach Banker 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Smile Bryan 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 4 Attentive 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 2 Clear Vision 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Mo Gotcha 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 Boru 6.00 4.5 9-1
8 7 Street Copper 5.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Noble Thought 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 1 Soulmate 30.00 6.9 13-1
10 9 Mandate 20.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Acker 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Vettori Kin (BRZ) 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 My First Grammy 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Risk Profile 2.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Joycee Haz Pizzaz 8.00 4 7-1
2 2 Wicked Indeed 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Indian Counselor 3.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Purple Hearted 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Top Gun Tommy 6.00 5 9-1
1 1 Sono Grato 20.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Scotty 50.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Breaking Stones 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – New York Stallion S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 Barrage 20.00 4.9 9-1
6 4 Dreamer’s Disease 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Ocala Dream 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Devious Mo 12.00 6 11-1
13 11 Step Dancer 3.00 6.7 13-1
12 10 It’s Gravy 12.00 6.8 13-1
7 5 The King Cheek 8.00 6.8 13-1
11 9 Hold the Salsa 10.00 7.2 14-1
8 6 Market Alert 12.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Dancing Buck 4.50 8.1 15-1
3 3 Thunderbird Cafe 15.00 SCRATCH
5 4 King Moonracer 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Sinful Dancer 2.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Gods Will 30.00 SCRATCH
9 7 Jacks American Pie 50.00 11.3 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tootsie’s Song 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Pals Saratoga Gal 15.00 3 6-1
1 1 Lady Normandy 4.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Idalisa 20.00 4 8-1
6 6 Bella Domenica 4.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Know It All Red 6.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Captivating Cara 8.00 4.5 8-1
12 12 Maria’s Gift 3.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Ob La Di 8.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Queentigua 20.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Angeloverthepulpit 50.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Emerald Banker 50.00 8.5 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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