Sports from the Basement

Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Friday, June 18, 2021

June 18, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Especiallea 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Striking It Lucky 4.50 4 8-1
6 5 Ghost Stalker 8.00 4.3 8-1
10 9 Toe Curlin’ Kiss 5.00 4.5 8-1
11 10 Dance Pants 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Mr. Shades of Gray 5.00 5.3 10-1
9 8 Stringfella 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 7 B Determined 6.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Sebastian 10.00 6 11-1
2 2 Fermat 12.00 6 11-1
5 5 Brightwood 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Cranston’s Network 1.20 2.1 4-1
6 5 Ichigo 15.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Ladneedsahandler 1.40 4.2 8-1
3 2 Fading Scars 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 1 Antipoison 15.00 6.2 12-1
4 3 Virginia Fib 15.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Crack the Safe 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 8 Johng 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Order for Porky 3.50 3.8 7-1
9 7 Market Mover 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 King Causeway 6.00 4.3 8-1
12 9 So Dialed In 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 1 U S Constitution 6.00 4.6 9-1
13 10 Make a Stand 8.00 6.4 12-1
4 3 Rising Perry 15.00 6.7 13-1
7 6 Mr. d’Angelo 4.50 7.1 13-1
6 5 Big Venezuela 15.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 American Fleet 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Jammin Still 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 It’s Sizzling Time 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 English Tavern 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 J Beresford Tipton 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Martini Lane 2.50 3.5 7-1
5 4 Ghost On a Mission 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 1 Shaka Style 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 5 Gottaway 10.00 4 8-1
4 3 Where’s the Ben’s 20.00 5 9-1
1 1 Blue Sky Painter 1.40 SCRATCH
6 6 Amen Corner 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fire in the Hole 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Kinda Lucky 2.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Ghost Maiden 15.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Closertotheheart 2.50 5.6 11-1
6 6 Fool Yourself 12.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Eye of the Needle 20.00 6.9 13-1
12 10 Baffle ‘Em 12.00 7 13-1
3 3 Monster Rising 10.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Polish Cookie 10.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Pounding Music 12.00 9.3 18-1
10 10 Pau Hana 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Self Assured 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Lemon Drop Kiss 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Look What I Found 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Bella Bettina 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Except Temptation 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Zip the Lip 2.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Fifty Seven Chevy 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 El Rojo 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Get Lit 2.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Not Telling 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Straitouta Congtin 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 True Shipman 12.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 El Sicario 30.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rohrbacher 3.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Lucky Ramsey 10.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Gunslinger (IRE) 4.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Tappahannock 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Uhwarrie Sky 8.00 4.8 9-1
10 9 No Knock Raid 10.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Apreciado 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Posterity 12.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Laddie Liam 10.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 National Honor 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Kikinboy 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Argentic (FR) 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Little Sir John 12.00 2.4 4-1
6 4 Golden G 0.80 2.6 5-1
5 3 Pet’s Night 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 2 Ziggy Springer 15.00 4.4 8-1
9 7 Pepe and Heywood 4.50 4.4 8-1
2 1 Raeford 20.00 4.4 8-1
7 5 Bean Pole 50.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Called to Rise 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Runaway Crown 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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