Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, June 18, 2021

June 18, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Wild Union 1.60 2.9 5-1
4 4 Paint Music for Me 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Tapit’s Flashback 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Z’finale 12.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Lokoya Road 1.40 3.4 6-1
1 1 Super Wicked Charm 20.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 True Palace 30.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Kodama (IRE) 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 3 Madamoussepousse 5.00 2.4 4-1
5 4 Divine Wine 4.00 2.4 5-1
8 7 Mannhal 4.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 The Club 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Champagne Camie 15.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Sail By 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Pammy’s Ready 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Alba’s Star 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 4 Saburai 5.00 3.2 6-1
9 7 Positive Skew 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 3 Unicorn Sally 12.00 4 8-1
10 8 Choose Happiness 20.00 4.1 8-1
8 6 Stefanie On Fleek 10.00 4.6 9-1
11 9 Rising Bella 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 5 Seeking Revenge 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 2 Patrona 50.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Corey Scores 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Wicked Mercury 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Kant Hurry Love 1.80 1.2 2-1
8 7 November Rein 2.50 1.2 2-1
4 3 Saratoga Kisses 5.00 1.8 3-1
2 1 Shesawildjoker 4.50 1.8 3-1
3 2 Banksamillion 6.00 2.2 4-1
5 4 Cara’s Nickels 15.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Endless Crusade 30.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Oak Loves a Fight 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 America’s Justice 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Kikkerland 3.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Sixteen Tons 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Warfront Fighter 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Forgotten Mission 4.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 We Ready 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 O B Troll 20.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 G C Cam 15.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Sinashack 15.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Deputies Edge 30.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Wisecrack 50.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cotton 3.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Viking Zim 5.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Bar Fourteen 3.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 The Great Gazoo 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Flintshire’s Rock 15.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Athenry 15.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Anejo 20.00 6.1 11-1
12 12 Ruse 8.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Danzigwiththestars 8.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Out of the Breech 20.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 My Brother Neil 12.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Fuoco 30.00 8.7 16-1
13 13 Oliver’s Fortune 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Lucky Brody 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Gods Will 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Jamaica Joy 3.50 2.1 4-1
8 7 Laura’s Bellamy 1.80 2.8 5-1
2 2 Beautiful Karen 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 Diva Banker 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Trinni Luck 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Vienna Code 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Shesasuperfreak 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Princess Corey 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Scocciatore 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Veterans Beach 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Wild William 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Scuttlebuzz 3.50 3 6-1
7 7 Lookin for Trouble 10.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Schokolade 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Halpert 12.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Great Blake 12.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Me ‘n Sap 20.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Big Wonder 30.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Panster 6.00 3.1 6-1
10 8 Brazillionaire 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Made My Day (IRE) 5.00 3.2 6-1
8 6 Jake Rocks 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 4 Translate 8.00 6.2 12-1
3 2 More Like It 15.00 7.2 14-1
7 5 Ballydooley (GB) 20.00 7.4 14-1
11 9 Conformist 20.00 7.5 14-1
9 7 Indoctrinate 20.00 8 15-1
2 2 Montatham 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 That Quality 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Kid Bourbon 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 My First Grammy 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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