Sports from the Basement

Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, June 12, 2021

June 12, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ordained Kiss 8.00 1.8 3-1
6 5 Juju’s Specialgirl 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Kiana’s Love 3.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Field Letters 4.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Hey Hey 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Isabellacannetella 2.50 6.3 12-1
5 5 Wanna Have Fun 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Dare to Hope 20.00 1.7 3-1
5 4 Girls Count 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Silver Sully 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Supreme Irene 4.50 4 8-1
2 2 Table One 3.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Luscious 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rio Seco 15.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 P H Factor 0.60 3.6 7-1
5 4 Can’t Say No 4.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Lemon Blitz 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Baroque 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Can’t Hide From Me 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Eskendereyas Dream 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Two Cookie Rule 8.00 1.3 2-1
6 5 Fixico 2.00 1.7 3-1
7 6 Clear to Close 5.00 3.8 7-1
4 3 Moon Flash 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 1 Irish Halo 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 2 Christmas Present 10.00 4.5 9-1
8 7 Will Ya Win Sum 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Smokin Richie 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Merlin’s Song 3.50 2.1 4-1
8 6 D’fever 12.00 3.4 6-1
6 4 Wile E Peyote 4.50 4.1 8-1
7 5 Change Direction 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Belfast Boy 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Trappe Valley 2.50 5 9-1
3 3 Aggressivity 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lost in Manhattan 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Timingiseverything 20.00 2.2 4-1
4 3 Andreas 3.50 3.1 6-1
9 7 Lead Star 10.00 3.2 6-1
8 6 Call the Colonel 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Christian C 2.00 4.9 9-1
5 4 Hinton 3.00 5.2 10-1
3 2 Saturdays Hangover 30.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Ogee’s Ekati 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Angelino 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dramatic Kitten 1.40 2.7 5-1
7 6 Tornado Boy 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Driver Dan 20.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Mister Charming 15.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Cloud to Ground 3.50 4.7 9-1
8 8 Tres Generaciones 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Bora Bora 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Cowboys Dream 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Symbolist 10.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Easton Rocks 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Dick the Bruiser 2.00 2.9 6-1
6 5 Look Away 8.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Reveille 20.00 SCRATCH
4 3 White Mist 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 King’s Story 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Irish Tuff 2.50 5.5 10-1
9 8 Hatchet Creek 20.00 8.2 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
2nd - 2:00
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Final
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4th - 11:34
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3rd - 10:15
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3rd - 10:06
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2nd - 0:00
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2nd - 5:03
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2nd - 5:10
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1st - 6:45
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