June 11, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Family Fortune | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Parched Ghost | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Sky Venezuela | 1.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | R True Sensation | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ciao Luna | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Petes Pride | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 8 | Crystalology | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8A | 5 | Behind the Couch | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Guns Blazing | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9A | 6 | Bless and Honor | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Golden Can | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Hufflepuff | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Brewster Flats | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Melisande | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Castilleja | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Verbien O. P. | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Jazz | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Souper Catch | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Mauro | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unequivocal | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iywaan | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charging Lion | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Campari | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Glengar | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Forced | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nothing Better | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Battlebus | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Bold Bandit | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | It’s Sizzling Time | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Backwoods Boogie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Godlovesasinner | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Super E | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Fair Catch | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Confusion Baby Boy | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Justice of War | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gator Fifty Two | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sing a Verse | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tale of Dixie | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Outside the Box | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Fernwood Drive | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Distant Thunder | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8A | 8 | Cooke Brothers | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Full Dinner Jacket | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shackled Love | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Market Mover | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Beltway Bob | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mint Game | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Broker’s Reward | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Audacious Quality | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Benny Havens | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Reassured | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Somekindofmagician | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Stringfella | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Make a Stand | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | My Boy Paddy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dundalk | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Decoupage | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hydra | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Larimar | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dance and Dance | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boogie With Me | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carolina Ice | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kickstarter | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stretch the Truth | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Officer Country | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Street Prayer | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tyreek | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Mosby’s Ranger | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | I’ve Gotta Plan | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Championship Alley | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crying for More | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | True Shipman | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bold Trek | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Pay the Kid | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Just Go With It | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lucian | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Hard to Be Humble | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bear Treasure | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.