Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, June 5, 2021

June 5, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Wit 1.60 2.2 4-1
2 1 Keepcalmcarryon 3.50 2.7 5-1
1 3 Disengage 10.00 3 6-1
8 8 Too Much Action 15.00 3.4 6-1
1A 4 Golden Holiday 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Magical Knight 12.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Baytown Warrior 20.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 My Rosie 30.00 5.7 11-1
3 2 Hagler 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Soft Power (FR) 3.50 2 4-1
6 5 Pipeline 3.00 2.2 4-1
7 6 King James 4.00 2.3 4-1
8 7 Ranger Fox 4.50 2.5 5-1
4 3 Migrate 8.00 2.6 5-1
9 8 My Cousin Rich 15.00 3.1 6-1
10 9 Mach One 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Charleston Strong 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Islandman 50.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Sea City 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Ghostconqueror 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Woody Stephens S. Presented By Nassau County Industrial Development Agency

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Caddo River 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Drain the Clock 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Dream Shake 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Jackie’s Warrior 1.40 2.3 4-1
1 1 Nova Rags 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Tulane Tryst 20.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Brooklyn S. Presented By Northwell Health

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ajaaweed 5.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Musical Heart 4.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Tizamagician 3.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Rocketry 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Ry’s the Guy 12.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Lone Rock 4.50 3 6-1
6 6 Moretti 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Campaign 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 You’re to Blame 30.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Acorn S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Travel Column 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Obligatory 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Search Results 1.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Dayoutoftheoffice 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Make Mischief 20.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Miss Brazil 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Jackpocket Jaipur S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Casa Creed 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Fast Boat 5.00 3.6 7-1
11 8 Got Stormy 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 6 Gregorian Chant (GB) 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Bound for Nowhere 2.00 3.9 7-1
12 9 Sombeyay 12.00 4.3 8-1
10 7 Stubbins 6.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Chewing Gum 20.00 6.1 12-1
5 4 Greyes Creek 30.00 8 15-1
3 3 Completed Pass 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Secret Rules 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Oleksandra (AUS) 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Ogden Phipps S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Shedaresthedevil 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 1 Letruska 1.80 2.6 5-1
7 5 Bonny South 10.00 2.9 5-1
4 2 Queen Nekia 30.00 4.2 8-1
6 4 Water White 30.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Swiss Skydiver 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Valiance 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Longines Just A Game S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Pocket Square (GB) 5.00 1.3 2-1
9 8 Summer Romance (IRE) 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 7 Althiqa (GB) 8.00 3 6-1
10 9 Tamahere (FR) 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Zofelle (IRE) 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 3 Regal Glory 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Always Shopping 12.00 6 11-1
12 10 New York Girl (IRE) 15.00 6.7 13-1
7 6 Abscond 20.00 7.6 14-1
3 2 Daddy Is a Legend 30.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Sweet Bye and Bye 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Blowout (GB) 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Hill ‘n’ Dale Metropolitan H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Knicks Go 1.20 1.1 2-1
2 2 Dr Post 4.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Silver State 3.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Mischevious Alex 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 By My Standards 10.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Lexitonian 20.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Resorts World Casino Manhattan S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Master Piece (CHI) 6.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Rockemperor (IRE) 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Tribhuvan (FR) 8.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Colonel Liam 2.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Domestic Spending (GB) 3.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Gufo 5.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 City Man 15.00 5 9-1
7 7 Channel Cat 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Masteroffoxhounds 20.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Bye Bye Melvin 30.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Belmont S. Presented By Nyra Bets

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rombauer 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Hot Rod Charlie 3.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Essential Quality 2.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Known Agenda 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Rock Your World 4.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Bourbonic 15.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 France Go de Ina 30.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Overtook 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Runaway Rumour 5.00 1.6 3-1
3 2 Spungie 3.50 3.6 7-1
11 10 My Lips Are Sealed 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 English Breeze 6.00 6 11-1
9 9 Pandamom 8.00 6.6 12-1
1A 7 Big Time Lady 8.00 6.7 13-1
6 5 Kinky Sox 12.00 7.7 15-1
4 3 Big Al’s Gal 15.00 8 15-1
8 8 Unicorn Sally 15.00 8.3 16-1
7 6 Cara’s Dreamer 20.00 9.9 19-1
1 7 More Glitter 8.00 SCRATCH
10 11 Magnetique 12.00 SCRATCH
12 13 Ok Honey 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 4 Price Talk 2.50 4 8-1
1A 6 Value Engineering 2.50 4.1 8-1
6 5 Temple 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 1 Microsecond 6.00 5.3 10-1
9 10 Opry 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 8 Hard Love 3.50 5.5 10-1
7 7 Desert Peace 15.00 6.4 12-1
5 3 Journeyman 12.00 6.8 13-1
10 11 Winning Factor 12.00 7.2 14-1
11 12 Ballagh Rocks 15.00 9 17-1
8 9 Forever Mo 20.00 9.5 18-1
4 2 Kentucky Pharoah 20.00 10 19-1
2B 13 Box N Score 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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