June 4, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 2 | Aunt Kat | 0.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
5A | 4 | Stand for the Flag | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
9 | 6 | Flashndynamite | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
6 | 5 | Flower Point | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
4 | 3 | Dublinornothin | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
2 | 1 | My Sweet Wife | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
1 | 1 | Platinum Paynter | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Bramble Bay | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Kissing Frogs | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10A | 10 | Classic Lady | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | La Babia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Jezebel’s Kitten | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 5 | Strong Moment | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
13 | 8 | Raffinity | 1.20 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
5 | 4 | Shea On a Mission | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
12 | 7 | Fancy Feline | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
4 | 3 | Lot of Honey | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Winds of Capri | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
3 | 2 | Empress of War | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
10 | 6 | Little Red Button | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
2 | 2 | Get the Candy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Tales I Winit | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Kreesa La Wrote | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Uncle’s Gem | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Caumsett | 5.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Tremont S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Overbore | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
4 | 4 | Trust Our Journey | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Kavod | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Baytown Frosty | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
5 | 5 | Rising Outlaw | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Little Drama | 0.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Cody’s Wish | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
4 | 4 | Mahaamel | 0.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | The Honorable One | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
9 | 8 | Askin for a Baskin | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
8 | 7 | Repo Rocks | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Lemon Drop Road | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
7 | 6 | We Ready | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Theregoesmymiracle | 50.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
6 | 6 | Sir William | 50.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9A | 7 | Shaftesbury | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
3 | 2 | Original | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
8 | 6 | Munqad | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
7 | 5 | Colton’s Command | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
12 | 10 | Public Sector (GB) | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
10 | 8 | Founder | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
2 | 1 | Sotoro (FR) | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
6 | 4 | Arzak | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
1 | 1 | Civil War | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Johnny Sack | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Good Culture | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14A | 14 | Amount | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 3 | Science (IRE) | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
11 | 9 | Mira Mission | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Saint Selby | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Colormepazzi | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Kaz’s Beach | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
11 | 11 | Devil’s Code | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
10 | 10 | Quickflash | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
3 | 3 | Brilliant Brooks | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
5 | 5 | Reggae Music Man | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
8 | 8 | Leap to Glory | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
7 | 7 | Bingo John | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
2 | 2 | Imperio D | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
9 | 9 | Beatthatflew | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – True North S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Looking At Bikinis | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Phat Man | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | American Power | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Wicked Trick | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Firenze Fire | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Flagstaff | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Big Engine | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Bed O’ Roses S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 4 | Victim of Love | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Lake Avenue | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
8 | 6 | Estilo Talentoso | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
4 | 3 | Bayerness | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
7 | 5 | Pacific Gale | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
3 | 2 | Alandra | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Piedi Bianchi | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Chub Wagon | 1.80 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – New York S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Virginia Joy (GER) | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
9 | 7 | Thundering Nights (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Harvey’s Lil Goil | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Magic Attitude (GB) | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
7 | 6 | Mean Mary | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
4 | 3 | My Sister Nat (FR) | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
6 | 5 | Civil Union | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
11 | 9 | Mutamakina (GB) | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
10 | 8 | Traipsing | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
3 | 3 | Micheline | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Antoinette | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Always Shopping | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Belmont Gold Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Baron Samedi (GB) | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Fantasioso (ARG) | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Ziyad (GB) | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
9 | 9 | Ajourneytofreedom | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Tide of the Sea | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Conviction Trade | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Kinenos | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Strong Tide | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | So High (GB) | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Q F Seventy Five | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
8 | 5 | Landbiscuit | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
4 | 2 | Summer Silence | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
7 | 4 | Emphasize | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
6 | 3 | Prayer Book | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
2 | 2 | Neotropic | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Mutasallem | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Cambi Lion | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Fingal | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Gold Bear | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Snow’s Island | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Enroule | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 6 | I Am the Law | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.