May 30, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Mebs Web | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gentle Annie | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Left Leaning Lucy | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Awesome Indra | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Extra Effort | 2.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Happy Sophia | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sky Kitten | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vineyard Sound | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | No Lime | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | The Great Dansky | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Freudian Sip | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shamrocked | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tale of Mist | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Summer Bourbon | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sneakiness | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Amendment Nineteen | 0.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | School of Thought | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tekila | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strong Point | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Firing Carol | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Superbloodwolfmoon | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | My Sacred Place | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Bellamy Dolce | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Millean | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Beatthatflew | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Quintarelli | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Patty O’Marc | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Super Silver | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Whichwaytomalibu | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14A | 9 | Mr. Tip | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11A | 6 | First Line | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Indian Counselor | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Parade Field | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tallaj | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Kid Bourbon | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Obsessed | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Mr. Kringle | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | My First Grammy | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Turn of Events | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Big Wonder | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Fame to Famous | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Holy Emperor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Life On Top | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Futuro | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Core Curriculum | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tremendous | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sixteen Tons | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mo Heat | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sinashack | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tapit’s Flashback | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Epona Rising | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Our Lucky Man | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tiz Envy | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Enroule | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8A | 2 | Dynadrive | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Limonite | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Dark Storm | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 4 | Burning Bright | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 3 | Malthael | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grumps Little Tots | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Price Talk | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4A | 4 | Temple | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Opry | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Alec | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Basha | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Paradise Creek S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beren | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fauci | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Three Two Zone | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Thin White Duke | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Outadore | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Artie | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Second of July | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Danny Deep Cuts | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Decreed | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | April Antics | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Esotica | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ob La Di | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Tiny Magoo | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Little Lulu | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Roxen | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Cazilda Fortytales | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Emerald Banker | 50.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spun for Lu Lu | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Know It All Red | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ms. Gucci Girl | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.