May 29, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 4 | Sense Shines | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Grafton Street | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | No Mi Culpa | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 1 | Raw Courage | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11A | 7 | Frosty Storm | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7A | 3 | Action Potential | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | R Doc | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Slipstream | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Command to Fire | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Marayel (IRE) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Riot House | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8A | 7 | Playwright | 1.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Playthatfunnymusic | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Hardcore Folklore | 1.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gio d’Oro | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skyler’s Scramjet | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | O Shea Can U See | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hawaiian Noises | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Great Dansky | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | First Captain | 1.20 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hometown | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Big Kahuna | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Supply and Demand | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dust Devil | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yankee Division | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 9 | Regality | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Tough Workout | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Druid | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rush to Honor | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 8 | Iwo Jima | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Damilano | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Loulovestheriver | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Ringgood | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hurricane Andrew | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tanners Neck Lane | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lord Flintshire | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Brennan’s War | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Portfolio Hedge | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kanithappen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Dreampoint | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Charge Into War | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 7 | Summer Brew | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Risk Model | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Violent Point | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Bay Jewel | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Saratoga Love | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Say Moi | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Halo City | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12A | 8 | She’s a Black Belt | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madam Maclean | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2A | 2 | Fetching | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Too Sexy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Keota | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Durkin’s Call | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bronx Bomber | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | T Loves a Fight | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Listentoyourheart | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bears Mafia | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gandy Dancing | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Power Up Paynter | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kazmania | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wow Brown | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 9 | Sand and Sea | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cease and Desist | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Evoking | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Blue Times | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dame Time | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Quinevere (GER) | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 7 | Mun Luv | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Back Channel | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 15 | 8 | Ms. Gucci Girl | 50.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arch of Fire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Know How (GB) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tuscan Queen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bitten by Kitten | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Quick Conversation | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Gailhorsewind | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Before You | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Family Biz | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Mystic Night | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Lost in Rome | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Doubly Blessed | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Girolamo’s Attack | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Chestertown | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Creed | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Liveyourbeastlife | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Extrordinary Jerry | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Superfecto | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Pennine Ridge S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2 | Sainthood | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | The Reds | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Safe Conduct | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shawdyshawdyshawdy | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Minuteman (GER) | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Step Dancer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Shaftesbury | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hard Love | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Public Sector (GB) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12A | 7 | Nicky Scissors | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 15 | 10 | Amity Island | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Gray Destiny | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Freddymo Factor | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Kerik | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Moana’s Tale | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Betcha by Golly | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Savedbythebelle | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 9 | Make Or Break | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Sweeter | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classy Sadie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Kiss and Run | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4A | 4 | Sengekontacket | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Minit Maus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cooper Penny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.