May 28, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Quest of Glory | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Rojo | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fifty Seven Chevy | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Distant Thunder | 0.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Go With It | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Bay | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Fox | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | A Girl Named Jac | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mit Mazel | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Champagne Toast | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Petrichor | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kitten With a Whip | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ball Lightning | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | R V Treasure | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bethabara | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Double Fireball | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | New York Rock Star | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Charging Lion | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hayne’s Fever | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dashing Lou | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Glengar | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catauga County | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whirlin Curlin | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Five Card Draw | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Cranston’s Network | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lifespan | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Leave ‘Em Loaded | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Let Us Make Gold | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fading Scars | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Called to Rise | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ichigo | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Star of Normandy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 9 | Dominating Buyer | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Asbuilt | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cindy’s Prayer | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Suzzette Star | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Reine Secret | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Lookin for Candy | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Not My Money | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Adabel | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Acadian Girl | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Great Cause | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Merry Maid | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Make It a Double | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | One Smart Cookie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Commas Save Lives | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Zippy Jo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Ms. Haiti | 30.00 | 13.9 | 26-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Wicked Hot | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Originalist | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tidal Waters | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Chance Given | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Moriah | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pounding Music | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Peace Out | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rona | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kalenjin | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Matoula | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Petion Lass | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Parched Ghost | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Sky Venezuela | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Instinctive | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Petes Pride | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | R True Sensation | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Family Fortune | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Heir Port | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cry No More | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Subject to Change | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Exculpatory | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | It’s Sizzling Time | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Palatial Times | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 8 | Gearhead | 1.60 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | My Man Pots N Pans | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ballivor | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Kikinboy | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tappahannock | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Itgot Grandma | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 16 | 10 | Gunslinger (IRE) | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dothat Dance | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | No Knock Raid | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’mthetapitnow | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Black Prong | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Other Things Equal | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Elementary | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Projected (GB) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Rohrbacher | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Paratycachaca | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.