May 28, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Silver Cloud | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Mission | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Varsity Flygirl | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Music City Star | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Howmuchistoomuch | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Manhattan Legacy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Avasarala | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Threatlevelmidnite (GB) | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lily’s Woofy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tinderella | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kenai Cool | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lil B Quick | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hypnotising | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hey Hey | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Express | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nice and True | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 3 | Senora Roma | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | She Can’t Sing | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Aiken to Be | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Well Spent | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Poseidon’s Passion | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Luvin Bullies | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Redeem My Heart | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ambassador Luna | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | O’Keeffe | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Colombard | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Elusive Force | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Young Corbett | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bel Bimbo | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | High Hero | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tre Lee Divine | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Greeleys Ice | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Betweenhereandcool | 3.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Timingiseverything | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Charlie Irish | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | French Minded | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jimmy D | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | High On Sugar | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ruffolo | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | P H Factor | 1.20 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Contraction | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Half of Manhattan | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Antrim’s Giant | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Baroque | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dollar Blue | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Can’t Hide From Me | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bourbon Tan | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Magic Man’s Touch | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Canary Islands | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Victor’s Way | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Greenspan | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mind Your Own Biz | 1.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | V Man | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tres Generaciones | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Demand Ransom | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic John’s | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dark Ninja | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | McRags | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Clemson Tiger | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Mon Ami Fuzzie | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Eye of the Cat | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Admiral Returns | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | New Year Surprise | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Soul Coaxing | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Captain Fantastic | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Duckdevil | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Outrider | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Silent Steve | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ol Grey Ghost | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Big Cypress | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Egomaniac | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Florida Flash | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lastfortinofamily | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dark Wood (IRE) | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Will Ya Win Sum | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ugo | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cloud to Ground | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Renegade Bob | 3.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bahamian Park | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.