May 22, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Styledome (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thrumps Dream (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tetragonal (IRE) | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jibber Jabber (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Plum Sexy | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Risen Lady | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Santa Maria S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | As Time Goes By | 0.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ce Ce | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Stormy D | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | This Tea | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Last First Kiss | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Feathers (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honey Jar | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nimbostratus (FR) | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bleu Ballon | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Respectfully | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Xmas Surprise | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Octopus | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Black Storm | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Satchel de Ritches | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Red Valor | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Eskimo Roses | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Outlaw | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | La Gioiosa (FR) | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cinnte Winnte (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Bella Ciao | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lookintogeteven | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Undisturbed | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Get On the Bus | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cider Apple (GB) | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miracle of Hope | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Assignation | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Gone Somewhere | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Vaporized | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen’s Code | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maybe Sometime | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | New Soi Phet | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irondale | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Count Tolstoy | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Head for Business | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Honeymoon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pizzazz | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Madone | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Going Global (IRE) | 1.20 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Diva | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quattroelle (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Steps (IRE) | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Catbernay | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Revisionist | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Poseidon’s Kid | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shotgun Rider | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pick Your Bid | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Detective Bernardo | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cousin Eddie | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Barzel Force | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lazarus Come Forth | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Warrior’s Moon | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rain Diva | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Go Smiley Go | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shylock Eddie | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | New Heat | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Squared Shady | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | D’s Lovely Sophia | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bella D | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Chica | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vella | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.