May 22, 2021 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Boo Be Right | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | North Side | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Private Lake | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heavy Favor | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Breakin Daylight | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baudette Blizzard | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rancho Bargo | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Speakerofthehouse | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Candy’s Little Tip | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Winning Moment | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sand Walker | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pay Dirt | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | It’s Bellamy Time | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Lived It | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Raisin Raisin | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Garbo Speaks | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sabria | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Huxinator | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Total Outburst | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barbed Wire | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Angel’s Melody | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Private Truth | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Downie’s Hip | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flat Rock | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Little Tip | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nugget of Grace | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Fortunate Son | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jesse Jones | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crown Rocket | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elusive Accounting | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | California Dreamer | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Camcordia | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sassy Ain’t I | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Maiden Angel | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bug a Boo | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shy Runner | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lulus Flight Boots | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Greeley and Ben | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lookin for Eight | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cave Run | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hidden Ruler | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Storm Bayou | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Monydontspenitself | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Retaliated | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | I Belong to Becky | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | River Rain | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Didi McCurdy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Warm Beauty | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lil’ Fancy | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prud as Punch | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Magdalena | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Binalloverdrinken | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mingo Magic | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Be Amazing | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Primary First | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.