May 22, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cask | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cockalorum | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Hint of Gray | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Zion | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cosmic Treasure | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Abuelo Nuno | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mango Tree | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rocket Ride | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Winningisfun | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ah Leah | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aka Lioness | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luscious | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dare to Hope | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twelve Red Roses | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz a Queen | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wild Fox | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Comiskey Park | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coco Bravado | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Town Agenda | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Edison Fire | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Change Direction | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Z U At the Races | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Halo Hunter | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | P H Factor | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Bel Bimbo | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | President Elect | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Rio Seco | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eskendereyas Dream | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | One Way Home | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | He’s Meant to Be | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Perfectly Majestic | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Can’t Hide From Me | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nyoman | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sense of Self | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Embarrassing | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eye On the Finish | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Passion’s Image | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brunella | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Good Mongolia | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Brexit | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chlobee | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Superstar Diva | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rapid Transit | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Lost in Manhattan | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Azrael | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | River Cactus | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wave’ndumoni | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Its My Bag Baby | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Aggressivity | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Khozan’s Valentine | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | City Drifter | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Merlin’s Song | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Mad Jack | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Backside Beauty | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Winnager | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rank and File | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blues Mary | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Me too Mo | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Takota | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Ozette | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Susan Ann | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Atlantic | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | My Sweet Kat | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Runback | 30.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dick the Bruiser | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Maga Country | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charlie’s Heir | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Fefo | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flashy Richie | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | White Mist | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Powerful Man | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Felixnitetraincole | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Distinct Thunder | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stomping Hotrod | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Final Call | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.