May 21, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | The Longest Night | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Gerlach’s | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Abi Gezunt | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tisquantum | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sir Williams Dream | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Union Bliss | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Silver Moon Road | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Royal O’Haigain | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Bellatrix | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charlotte Harbor | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ko Olina | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Harddiane | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Distorted Diva | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Infinite Love | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Vegas Palm | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Acai | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bluegrass Sky | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peace Pipe | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dynapower | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Listen to Blue | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Best of Show | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Gallantlystreaming (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Winhappy | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Roan Ranger | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stone’s River | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Careless Kitten | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Call Nine One One | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catfish Charlie | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Marksman On Target | 2.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pedro Perez | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whiskey Vision | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cover Version | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sherilinda | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colombian Gold | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | So Much Happy | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wind Tartare (FR) | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sophie Antoinette | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | True Mischief | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Press Briefing | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Prince Ricky | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mountain Spirit | 1.60 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Calder Vale | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Severin | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Floyd Moneymaker | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lovesick Blues | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Man Bags | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rocktillyoudrop | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Letsgetlucky | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cibertruck | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jazz Hands | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Flame | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Play Chicken | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Me Likey | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kind But She Lies | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brio Is Awesome | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Big Al’s Princess | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Soulmate | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Synsky | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Avisse | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Medusa’s Gaze | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Twirly Girl | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nobu | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Perfectly Julie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.