May 17, 2021 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big Biz | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goose Drank Wine | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tough Company | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Foxy Ace | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Off Again On Again | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gotta Love Ike | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Big Power Red | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sir Deputy | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Smoking Gun | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Quality Run | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | King of the Ring | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shine Jack’s Dream | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Northern Diamond | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seeking Honor | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bobbin Tail | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Tourista | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jitters | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Woo Hoo | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Street Ringer | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bluebird Day | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Purple Scooter | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starvana | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Javistha | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Think I Got This | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ta | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Lingerie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Damascus Gate | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sugar Shack Queen | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Campfire Tales | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bossy Moment | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Call the Shots | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Game to Play | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bye Love Gotta Go | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sparkle O Mine | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | No Shirt No Shoes | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Knight Commander | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | War Detonator | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Something Super | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Firehorn | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Last Battle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Outlaster | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Seven Thirty | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bravo Kolt | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lancelot N Elaine | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nosbor | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crimson Trace | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twirling Chief | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swampdrainer | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Bobby McGee | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.