May 16, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Swanning | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fowler Blue | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aspen Shade | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thirsty Always | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sippin N Kissin | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Winning | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gidgetta | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Acting Out | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hotitude | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | First Star | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Five Pics Please | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rakassah (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Theluteismine | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diva’s Finale | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joe Don Looney | 1.20 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Raging Waters | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Musical Gem | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Western Rule | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Golden Journey | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bellize | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Give Up | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Predictable Tully (IRE) | 1.40 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Meg | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royally Command | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clever Intrusion | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chiquita Piquita | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Well | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gordy’s Boy | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mount Pelliar | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | By Moonlight | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mongol Altai | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Salah | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Discount | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Very Irish | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Malice | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | American Admiral | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Myopic | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beyond Brilliant | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Impossible | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Destiny One | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bender | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fantail (GB) | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ellerslie Lace (FR) | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Peridot | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dolce | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nu Pi Lambda | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lofty | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Del Mar Drama | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Showmethemagic | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bam Bam Again | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Indy Jones | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Studly Perfection | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jan’s Reserve | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tobacco Road | 1.60 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Seeker | 50.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Bad Gary | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Hyland Haven | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Aura | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dorita’s Happy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | New Drama | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Consider Me Gone | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fabiolla (GB) | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Devil | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Phoenix Tears | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shout It Out | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rattrapante | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Al’s Princess | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Deise Delight (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Quiet Forest | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Galarina | 50.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.