Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 15, 2021

May 15, 2021 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Firecracker Stand 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 4 Downtown Brown 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Sailor Chow 1.60 2.6 5-1
1 1 Rock City Rocket 6.00 2.9 6-1
4 3 He Has No Friends 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Youjustgottuppered 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Mr. Shapoor 1.80 2.2 4-1
6 5 Talkin Malice 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 4 Herzen 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 2 Data Storm 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Tuff Willy Te 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Feisty Bird 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Say It Nicely 1.80 2 4-1
3 3 Lucky Louie 4.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Ginger Rules 3.50 2.4 4-1
4 4 Running Alex’sband 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Point of Impact 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 York Road 12.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Alia Max 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Layton the Day 4.50 2 4-1
7 7 Rowdy Rascal 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Dang It Briscoe 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 The Bondsman 10.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Evan’s Envy 10.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 A Brush of Luck 12.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Uottalikeit 12.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Titanic Rose 15.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Drunk n’ Swaying 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lucky Artie 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Itsnotmyjob 1.40 2.5 5-1
3 3 Suz 3.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Tapigal 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Spell Winder 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Deja Sue 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Leighton Kentucky 10.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Olive Oyl 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Charm and Sarcasm 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Shesabidformidable 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Repeal 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Ready to Get Loud 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Me ‘n Jerri Lee 10.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Holiday Romance 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Golden Circle S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Twirling Mamba 6.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Bodenheimer 2.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Molto Vivace 2.50 3 6-1
8 8 Vulcan 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Chicks Dig Scars 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Flash of Mischief 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Top Star 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Smooth Papa 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Goldeneyed 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Champagne Bling 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Focus First 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Distorted Flash 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Catechism 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 She’s Fire and Ice 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Wicked Flashback 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Blinkers 8.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Goldfinch S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Kandy Ginger 3.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Inject 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Heart Full of Soul 3.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Feeling Mischief 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Miss Twenty 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Becca’s Rocket 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Splash Cash 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Anothersunnyday 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 She Likes to Party 15.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Paytience Pays 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.