May 15, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Sir Barton S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hozier | 0.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The King Cheek | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Market Cap | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Romp | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Gulley | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dream Big Dreams | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Oceans Map | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tapwood | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Toe Curlin’ Kiss | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Crazy Kater | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Artistic Endeavor | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Operative | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Speed Game | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Daddy’s Cozy | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Keeping the Peace | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Bear Treasure | 50.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Josef Is Real | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Unequivocal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Chick Lang S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Willy Boi | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jaxon Traveler | 0.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hemp | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mighty Mischief | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Palatial Times | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shackled Love | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Liraz | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Judi Blue Eyes | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Out of Sorts | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fionnbharr | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Good Life Cider | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Deciding Vote | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nokomis | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Witty Banter | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pink Pearl | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Vibrancy | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rapidashqueen | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Double Fireball | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Glamorous Thunder | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fire Sword | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Breaking News | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baptize the Boy | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Going to the Lead | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Abuelo Paps | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sugar Daddy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | McCain | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Crusader | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | John the Bear | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Candygramformongo | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Gallorette S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Flighty Lady (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mean Mary | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Feel Glorious (GB) | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Great Island | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vigilantes Way | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tuned (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Shane’s Jewel | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mischief Afoot | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hanalei’s Houdini | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | McElmore Avenue | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gentleman Joe | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Oxide | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Torch of Truth | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Informative | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Malice | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Burning Bright | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – James W. Murphy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | T D Dance | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indian Lake | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Charles Chrome | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Extrasexybigdaddee | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kasim | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Arzak | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Reassured | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Outadore | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Runhappy Skipat S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Chub Wagon | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Casual | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | French Empire | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Call On Mischief | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dontletsweetfoolya | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Club Car | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Never Enough Time | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paisley Singing | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Jim Mckay Turf Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Boldor | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | So Street | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Firecrow | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hollis | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Critical Way | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Connector | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dubini | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Completed Pass | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grab the Gold | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Love You Much | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Push to Start | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Robey’s Boy | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jammer | 50.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Maryland Sprint Match Series S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Strike Power | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Special Reserve | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Breezy Gust | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yodel E. A. Who | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Seven Nation Army | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lebda | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mucho | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Laki | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frosted Grace | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Threes Over Deuces | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | War Tocsin | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Dinner Party S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Somelikeithotbrown | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sacred Life (FR) | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kuramata (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Talk Or Listen (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bye Bye Melvin | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Tea Time | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | English Bee | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flying Scotsman | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Preakness S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Medina Spirit | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Concert Tour | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Bourbon | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crowded Trade | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Risk Taking | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Unbridled Honor | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rombauer | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | France Go de Ina | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keepmeinmind | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ram | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Stakes) – Uae President Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | RB RICH LYKE ME | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | UPTOWN SANDY GIRL | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | QUICK SAND AA | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | PADDYS DAY | 1.60 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | UPTOWN CRUISEDIRECTOR | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | HIAB AL ZAMAN | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | UPTOWN LADY ARABELLA | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | ON THE VERGE | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | IRIDESSE | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | BELLFASTT | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | MADJIKMAN | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | COLORS IN MOTION | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.