May 14, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Irish Heatwave | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cleopatra’s Strike | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seeking Refuge | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Stiff | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | French Getaway | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Jan Jan Can | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Your Royal Coil | 1.60 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Blazing Charm | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saving Sophie | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cowboys Daughter | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bella Renella | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | I Am Allthatyouare | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Exultation | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rager | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fly the Sky | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Flew South | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sky Confidential | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Measureofdevotion | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Feeling Grazeful | 1.20 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss O’Brien | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Omg It’s Jessica | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Valentine Ghost | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aristeia | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Square Lady | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Enough Nonsense | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prince Magician | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | K P Silver Bullet | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ahimaaz | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Epidemic | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mahaamel (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Dog Daddy | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | California Street | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Question Authority | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Itsthattime | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Canyon Crest | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Street Behavior | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Play Chicken | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Talker | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Found My Ball | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ferrariano | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Standing O | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ingest | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cargo | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alpine Thunder | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chollima | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Empressive Cat | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Girona | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luck Be Mine | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brilliant Bird | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kirsch Truffle | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ballet Royalty | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.