May 14, 2021 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Redneckerthanyou | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Snap’n Tap | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roger P | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Masterofmatrimony | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Boaz | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Freed | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Captain Don | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kierkegaard | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Big Bluff | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boating Party | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Battle Hero | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bee Exxtravagant | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Campaign Spy | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | King Deuce | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | A J Samurai | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Way Out West | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holiday Man | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ameripoint | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run Away Bett | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stunning One | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Lein | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Voodayo | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stella Marie | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Autumn Aspen | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mayan Sky | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Palette | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rated R Superstar | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Downtowner | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Box Seat | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cashanova | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shweet Persuasion | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little No Way | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Stephen’s Answer | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mystic Link | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pinson | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flatout Winner | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Post Close | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Domikate | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Newport Beach | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.