May 14, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | Quality Choice | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Elementary | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Spear | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 13 | Trilogy | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mo Zone | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Posterity | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rumson Rally | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uhwarrie Sky | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mokheef | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Projected (GB) | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Year of the Kitten | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Apreciado | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King Mauro | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Atreyu | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Empty Nestr | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Dr Jack | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Johnny Sack | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Light Us Up | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sir Lenny | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Royal Number | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dream Big Dreams | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | American Fleet | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bananas On Fire | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Plamen | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Omati | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Romp | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Miranda’s Desmond | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Response Time | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sizzling Hot | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Eye of the Needle | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 15 | 12 | Practically Dizzy | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Discreet Dominique | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Digital Dream | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Princess Mia Rose | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hankie Pank | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Shabang | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Who Knows What | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Love Magel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bellatora | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kats in Charge | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Loan Biz | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Tricky Spirits | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Prodigious Bay | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Benandjoe | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dinosaur Ben | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ratify | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Point Driven | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crouchelli | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sea Ghost | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Armando R | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 13 | American Goddess | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Beantown Baby | 1.20 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Memphis Mafia | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Caterina One | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mischiefs Model | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Lori | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bluefield | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Madam Maclean | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chargina | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Behind the Couch | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mike’s Girl | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sublimity | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Moonrock | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Who U Gonna Call | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Eloquent Lady | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Adabel | 50.00 | 12.4 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Belle Tapisserie | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jeopardy James | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Charge to Victory | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wondrwherecraigis | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Stroll Smokin | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Where Paradise Lay | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Youngest of Five | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tringale | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Noble Commander | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Carey Times | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Air Token | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Best of Greeley | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Ramsey | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | On a Spree | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Weather Wiz | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hard Fought | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Street Copper | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gunnison | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Small Hope | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Missin the Big Dog | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Kid Mercury | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oxide | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | McElmore Avenue | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Rohrbacher | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hanalei’s Houdini | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Allaire Dupont Distaff Match Series S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Getridofwhatailesu | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dreamalildreamofu | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mrs. Danvers | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spice Is Nice | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Horologist | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Another Broad | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Stride | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Landing Zone | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – The Very One S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Catch a Bid | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Victory Kingdom (AUS) | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dixieincandyland | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen of Shades | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Gotta Go Mo | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caravel | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gogo Shoes | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Buff’s in Love | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bath And Tennis (IRE) | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Epic Idea | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dendrobia | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Can the Queen | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Miss Preakness S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Joyful Cadence | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Street Lute | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Abrogate | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Euphoric | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Ghost | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paradise Song | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Juror Number Four | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prodigy Doll | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Inject | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Hilltop S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bubbles On Ice (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tracy Flick | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Arm Candy | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Phantom Vision | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Speed Lane | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mia Martina | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alda | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seasons | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Proper Attire | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Serenade a Kitten | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Journeytothemoon | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Il Malocchio | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Double Fireball | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Out of Sorts | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Pimlico Special Match Series S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Modernist | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fearless | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Enforceable | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Last Judgment | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Max Player | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Harpers First Ride | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Treasure Trove | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prioritize | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cordmaker | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forewarned | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Alwaysmining | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – George E. Mitchell Black-eyed Susan S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Adventuring | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Beautiful Gift | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Grass Is Blue | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Willful Woman | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Iced Latte | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Army Wife | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Traveler | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spritz | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forever Boss | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Leslie | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Fool Yourself | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fred’s Sheila | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sally’s Mustang | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Celestial Diva | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pearlyville | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jungle Bride | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Dream Girl | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joanie’s Sunset | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No Down Days | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Flava’s Dream | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Running On Entry | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Why Not Tonight | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 14 | Vesper | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Torre Branca | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Dancing Til Dusk | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Brief Reaction | 50.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.