May 14, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Danzatale | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
1 | 1 | Chips and Salsa | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
4 | 4 | Manuela | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Neve | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Hardly Social | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
9 | 8 | Thats All Shewrote | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
8 | 7 | Watermelon Sugar | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
7 | 6 | La Bella Vita | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
6 | 6 | Pretzel | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Merlin | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | Pappacap | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Whiskeyonhislips | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Big and Classy | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Catching Magic | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | The Skipper Too | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Playing Gold | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Pretty Dude | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Grand Wiser | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Greyzer | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Alabama Slammer | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Khozando | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Caramel Chip | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Gods Blessing | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Fear the Deer | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
8 | 8 | Love Life | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Reinoanimaux | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Mr. Einstein | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | The Wild Flyer | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Mayor Remo | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
9 | 9 | Meteorito | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | Channel Man | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
5 | 5 | William Boy | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 3 | Marcelino | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
11 | 8 | Station Rock | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Frenchmen Street | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
8 | 7 | Earth | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
6 | 5 | Henry’s World | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
5 | 4 | Vision Perfect | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
7 | 6 | Weekend Dreamer | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
1 | 1 | Tenacity Zip | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
3 | 3 | Whyruawesome | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Reagan’s Heart | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Unprecedented | 5.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Dream of Warrior | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | First Rule | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | All Fools Day | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Money Runner | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Kurt’s a Keeper | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Taleoftwobrothers | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | Sandy Dude | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Dominate Themoment | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
6 | 4 | Complex System | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
7 | 5 | Zap Daddy | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
2 | 2 | Jirafales | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
5 | 3 | Political Riot | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Second Mate | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Nacho Papa | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Top Bomb | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Citizen West | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | The Red Man | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Ben Copenhagen | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Alado | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | High Yield Kitten | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Successful One | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Curong | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Foolish Heart | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
3 | 2 | Mon Petit Chou | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
4 | 3 | Princess Secret | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
6 | 4 | Sweet Baby Raelynn | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
7 | 5 | Queen Domina | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
2 | 2 | Adios Trippi | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Dem a Wonder | 4.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Royal Asset | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
7 | 7 | Malraux | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Apache Brave | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
10 | 9 | Gran Malbec | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Tale of Kantharos | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
5 | 5 | Zaino Boyz | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
11 | 10 | Moon Pistol | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
9 | 8 | No Nay Maybe (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
6 | 6 | Archivero | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
1 | 1 | Keepsakekitten | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
8 | 8 | Tio Wil | 2.50 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.