May 13, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | City Magic | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hey Padre | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Six Minus | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Superposition | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jarlian | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Claude Ray | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kitten’s Clown | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Laurel Canyon | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | David’s Rose | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last Leaf | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Myfavoritedaughter | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shine N Jam | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lluvia | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tipharah | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Greatest Glory | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Pulling Strings | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | K’s Running Free | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Never My Love | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lights On Girl | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Leyenda | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chattin With Jenny | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pink Fizz | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Gran Reserva | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Surf Shack | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Karen’s Cove | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Puttheglassdown | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Youshouldbesolucky | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Peppi the Hunter | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ray’swarrior | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smoke ‘n’ Gloat | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Luna | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Takedown | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Imperial Mission | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kroy | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cuestion de Tiempo | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vow Me Now | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | J P Hellish | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Brasstown | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Spinning Kitten | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Touch | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Honolulu Express | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Tapping | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Competitive Hero | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | No Commission | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jr Speed | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Super Edgar | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Turn Johnny | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Road to Peace | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Teddy’s Honor | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Northbrook | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Sarasota Star | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War Star | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Running Memories | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dahlonega | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Centsless Drama | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Social Exclusion | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Great Kath | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Tunes | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Sweetly Maid | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | R Next Roll | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Heir Ball | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tony’s Rose | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Taylor’s in Orbit | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fightress | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | I’m Prayingforthat | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Panarea | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tale of V K | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Noble Intentions | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Domineer | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.