May 8, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dancing Dana | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Delta Gamma Cats | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frazzled | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | St Helena | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Varoma | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Simmer Down | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Mama Sue | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mamma Rama | 1.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Soul | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Life’s Emotions | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Season to Remember | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caught in a Trappe | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Indi Galle | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Beyonce | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cono | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Black Album (FR) | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Real News | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Psycho Dar | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prodigal Son | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Curvette | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bye Bye Miss Pie | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rather Nosy | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Fia | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paid Informant | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Disappearing Act | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pythagorean | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Almost a Factor | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sapphire Kid | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bestrella (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hollywood Girl | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brio Is Awesome | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Rose | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Sonny | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Katie’s Paradise | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen of Arendell | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Passion | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forever Free | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Slewpys Last Song | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Santa Barbara S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Go Big Blue Nation | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tapwater | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Star of Africa | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Neige Blanche (FR) | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rideforthecause | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dynapower | 50.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catch the Eye | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carpe Vinum | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Hapi Hapi | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Betito | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gabby Hayes | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brazilian Summer | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deuce | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | It’s Fitting | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bam Bam Again | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kennebec | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Classic | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | June Gloom | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | On Easy Street | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Waraire | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Star | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Algeria (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Power Source (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baracko | 50.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Invasion | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twirling Derby | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lemonade Stand | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Indy | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.