May 6, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Up Seventyfour | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Sitka | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tap the Barrel | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Overdressed | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dramatic Twist | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bustinmygroove | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Captivating Gal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big City Momma | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Artyistheparty | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Sofia | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Steal My Sunshine | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Back Channel | 0.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ms. Gucci Girl | 50.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Great Workout | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiergan | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Man Mike | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Too Early | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bingo John | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Lime | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Macy’s Home Run | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Riding On a Winner | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Alex | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiny Magoo | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mia Calia | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | After the Wire | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jordy Can Tap | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Madame Rose | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Dangerous Edge | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Advance Notice | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moonlight Now | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Millean | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My First Grammy | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brazillionaire | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Deputy Flag | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Connagh’s Quay | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prayer Book | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Snow’s Island | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royale | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Proven Innocent | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Bear | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Silence | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Houdini’s Awesome | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Tact Toe | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Wicked Grinch | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I Am the Law | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Baby Boss | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ifihadachance | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Midtown Rose | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dublinornothin | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Violent Trick | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Awesome Alana | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Movie Score | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Madera | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Violent Point | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Silky Blue | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Purrageous Dyna | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Screamin’ By | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Important One | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Impazible Donna | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fight On Lucy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Zerenia | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Corey Scores | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Day’s Humor | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ava K’s Girl | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Towering Gaze | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quasar | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Appreciate | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hey It’s Tati | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Magical Romance | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | High School Crush | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Master of Hope | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Beautiful Karen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.