Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, May 3, 2021

May 3, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Not in the Mood 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 West Horizen 5.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Rose of Dublin 1.80 3.5 7-1
4 4 Big Red Seven 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 I’m Thirsty 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Yes Mz Adah 12.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Checkbouncin Billy 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Hola Princess 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Penance 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Assume Control 4.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 I’m Not Joking 2.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Our Claire Bear 20.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Creedibility 8.00 5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 3 Starinthemaking 1.80 2.1 4-1
2 1 Bobbyfromthepalm 4.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Luvinmeiseasy 3.00 3.4 6-1
3 2 My Train 5.00 4 8-1
5 5 Neighborhood Bully 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Staynsidethecircle 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 3 Celtic Treasure 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mo Party 6.00 3.7 7-1
9 6 Angel Embrace 6.00 4.6 9-1
10 7 Sweet Savage 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 4 Shetalkstomuch 2.50 6 11-1
4 3 Lady Carmela 10.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Clout Chaser 10.00 6.6 12-1
8 5 Treasure Seeker 20.00 7.1 14-1
3 3 Misbehaving Lady 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Wham Bam Shrimp 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Irish Jumper 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Smart Tart 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 The King Cheek 3.00 3 6-1
5 5 One Slick Start 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Bananas On Fire 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Mr. Doda 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Doctor K 1.80 3.5 7-1
3 3 San Antone 5.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Thatta Boy Girl 5.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Livin a Dream 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Cotton Candy Cutie 2.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Luna Azteca 8.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Enchantabull 15.00 5.9 11-1
11 10 Midnight Sky 4.00 6 11-1
4 4 True Upgrade 12.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Mad Mary 15.00 6.8 13-1
9 8 Canoochee 15.00 7.3 14-1
7 6 Princess Mikayah 20.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Owesaycanyousee 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Twirling Liz 3.50 2.9 6-1
7 7 It’s So Easy 4.50 3 6-1
5 6 Breviary 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 2 Bella G 3.00 3.6 7-1
4 5 Sense a Million 2.50 3.9 7-1
1A 4 Fine One Won 3.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Mini Scoop 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 7 Whyisshesoolucky 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Miss Loyalty 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Enough Love 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Dirty Bird 4.50 4.7 9-1
7 6 Wings of Fury 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Tiz a Date 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Discreet Cathy 8.00 5.3 10-1
9 8 Come and Get It 5.00 5.6 11-1
10 9 Reigning Fire 12.00 6.3 12-1
11 10 Frisky Feeling 8.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Angel Raphael 15.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Socially Astray 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Leader of the Band 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Love in Her Eyes 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Kind Humor 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Tayler’s Chrome 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Butter Pecan 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Peyton Elizabeth 5.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Strong Breeze 8.00 4.8 9-1
13 11 Factor This In 4.00 5.1 10-1
9 7 Souper Fly Over 3.00 6.1 12-1
4 3 Your Awesome Boss 10.00 6.8 13-1
5 4 Federal Case 6.00 7.4 14-1
6 5 Manolete 8.00 7.5 14-1
11 8 Kadens Courage 15.00 7.9 15-1
3 2 My Danzig Partner 12.00 8.4 16-1
2 1 Monteleone 5.00 9.7 18-1
1 10 Thousand Percent 6.00 9.7 18-1
1A 15 Tomater Gator 6.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Diamond Setter 8.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Mission Oberon 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Ballivor 8.00 SCRATCH
12 9 Getoffmyback 8.00 11.5 22-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Royal Coup 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 James Ciro 8.00 4.1 8-1
10 9 Fray 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Cobble Hill 4.50 5.8 11-1
3 3 El Fenomeno 3.00 6 11-1
11 10 Frost’s Song 6.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Stink Man 15.00 6.4 12-1
6 5 Lawyer Roy 20.00 6.6 13-1
8 7 Little Vinnie 15.00 7.3 14-1
9 8 Raggy Rocks 20.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Shandian 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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