May 3, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Not in the Mood | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | West Horizen | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rose of Dublin | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Red Seven | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Thirsty | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yes Mz Adah | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Checkbouncin Billy | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hola Princess | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Penance | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Assume Control | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Not Joking | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Claire Bear | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Creedibility | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 3 | Starinthemaking | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bobbyfromthepalm | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Luvinmeiseasy | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | My Train | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Neighborhood Bully | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Staynsidethecircle | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Celtic Treasure | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mo Party | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Angel Embrace | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Sweet Savage | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Shetalkstomuch | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lady Carmela | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clout Chaser | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Treasure Seeker | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Misbehaving Lady | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Wham Bam Shrimp | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Irish Jumper | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Smart Tart | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | The King Cheek | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Slick Start | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bananas On Fire | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Doda | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doctor K | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | San Antone | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Thatta Boy Girl | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Livin a Dream | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Luna Azteca | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Enchantabull | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Midnight Sky | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | True Upgrade | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mad Mary | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Canoochee | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Princess Mikayah | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Owesaycanyousee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Twirling Liz | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | It’s So Easy | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Breviary | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Bella G | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Sense a Million | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Fine One Won | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mini Scoop | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Whyisshesoolucky | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Miss Loyalty | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Enough Love | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dirty Bird | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wings of Fury | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tiz a Date | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Discreet Cathy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Come and Get It | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Reigning Fire | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Frisky Feeling | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Angel Raphael | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Socially Astray | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Leader of the Band | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love in Her Eyes | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kind Humor | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tayler’s Chrome | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Butter Pecan | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peyton Elizabeth | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Strong Breeze | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Factor This In | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Souper Fly Over | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Your Awesome Boss | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Federal Case | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Manolete | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Kadens Courage | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | My Danzig Partner | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Monteleone | 5.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 10 | Thousand Percent | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1A | 15 | Tomater Gator | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Diamond Setter | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Mission Oberon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ballivor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 9 | Getoffmyback | 8.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Royal Coup | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | James Ciro | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fray | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cobble Hill | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Fenomeno | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Frost’s Song | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stink Man | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lawyer Roy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Little Vinnie | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Raggy Rocks | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shandian | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.