May 1, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Buy American | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mongolian Panther | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kalon | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cielo d’Oro | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lady Macarena | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Red Diamond | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Socially Smart | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Get On the Bus | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Miracle of Hope | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Xmas Surprise | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Jewel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Pushingupdaisies | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Leprino | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Studly Perfection | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kenzou’s Rhythm | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Swamp Souffle | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rinse and Repeat | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Troutman | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Handsome Cat | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Two Thirty Five | 0.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eel Point | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Wind | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shadow Sphinx | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tripoli | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Memo Daddy (CHI) | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Astronaut | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keystone Field | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Street Fighter | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Asaro | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wrecking Crew | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Angels Flight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Astute | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stella Noir | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heels Up | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Missy P. | 0.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Vantage Point | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Titrate | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Special Mission | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Joy | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Halfbarberbingie | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Granada Flavor | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Summer Dream | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Got Curly | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lalalandhellraiser | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mahaamel (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shotgun Rider | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Me Macho | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | By Moonlight | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cousin Eddie | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runaway Wywy | 50.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Luck Is Golden | 1.60 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pedro Perez | 50.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Whistleblower | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Circumvent | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Magnificent | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Airman | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hudson Ridge | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Winzer | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eagle Chief | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No Foolery Here | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jedi Master | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Still in the Game | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dicey Mo Chara (GB) | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bender | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Warbird | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Silent Musketier | 50.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Self Taught | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Next Revolt | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Octopus | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Owning | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Flew South | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Notre Dame | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Camby | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Satchel de Ritches | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Hedges | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Senorita S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Madone | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Closing Remarks | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Javanica | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tetragonal (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sweetest Angel | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Majestic Steps (IRE) | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sensible Cat | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stressed | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nimbostratus (FR) | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jibber Jabber (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.