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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 25, 2021

April 25, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dr. Hoffman 3.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Brazilian Summer 20.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Railsplitter 4.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Full Draw 6.00 3.4 7-1
1 1 Hoop Dream 3.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Foothill 2.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Meadway 30.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Shuster 6.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Shezaghost 0.80 1.7 3-1
1 1 Lady Crocker 8.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Eyes Open 1.20 2.6 5-1
3 3 Whistler’s Style 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Wild Ride 30.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Miss Bella Ciao 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Rhythm and Grace 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Witch Moon 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Midnight Diva 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Cider Apple (GB) 3.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Assignation 30.00 6 11-1
6 6 Aristeia 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lady On Ice 2.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Uno Trouble Maker 1.80 3 6-1
6 5 Tiz Toffee 5.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Vangogo 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Gemma Royal 12.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Girona 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bombard 1.60 1.8 3-1
5 5 Chaos Theory 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Gregorian Chant (GB) 1.80 2.7 5-1
4 4 Chasin Munny 4.00 4 8-1
3 3 Loud Mouth 8.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Coalinga Road 1.60 2.7 5-1
2 2 Too Late 3.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Bench Judge 2.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Agamemnon 6.00 4 7-1
1 1 Shady Empire 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Without Malice 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Run King Stud Run 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Auspicious Style 4.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Minister Shane 5.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Backyard Brawl 15.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Storm Seeker 5.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Magnificent Red 20.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Ferrariano 3.50 5.3 10-1
7 7 Baracko 50.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Count Tolstoy 12.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Irondale 6.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Head for Business 8.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Seattle Breakout 8.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 El Diablo Rojo 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Caerulean 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Ingest 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Single Me Out 2.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Tiz a Speed Bomb 12.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Teton Valley 4.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Unmasked 12.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Singletary S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sword Zorro (IRE) 3.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Gator Shining 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Petruchio 2.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Man Friday 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Sensemaker 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Coastal Kid 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Traffic Stopper 2.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Run Like Kona 4.00 2.9 6-1
11 11 Miss Lady Ann 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Sophie Antoinette 6.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Maggie’s Magic 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Secret Maneuver 15.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Commas Save Lives 12.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Second Avenue 20.00 9.1 17-1
12 12 Full Eclipse 20.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Flatterwithjewels 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Ballet Royalty 0.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Kaygo 30.00 10.3 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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