April 25, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Saucy Lady T | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Landslid | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Midsummer Nights | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kanpai | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Proton Pack | 0.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | First Line | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tri Saint Lorenzo | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shanghaischool | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Therisastormbrewin | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Icy Dude | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Not That Brady | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Tremendous | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Determined Fury | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Uncle Moonlight | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Risk Profile | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Moonshiningbright | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | We Ready | 50.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sixteen Tons | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Night Escort | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Up for Adventure | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Patty O’Marc | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Theitalianamerican | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go Cash Go | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Interstate | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lorenzen | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Being Me | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Brush Country | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hooray for Harvey | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Morgantown | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shamrocked | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Win With Pride | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Great Dansky | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mac’s Revolution | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Bourbon | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Batterbatterswing | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Professor Snape | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | O Shea Can U See | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spungie | 1.60 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 16 | 7 | Road to Remember | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 15 | 6 | Moon Sweeper | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 4 | Winds of Capri | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 5 | Stormi Cat Lady | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Franny Lu | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Masterof the Tunes | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Just Ok Is Not Ok | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Acushla | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Epona’s Dream | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dixie Kitten | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Gallina | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Constitutionalrage | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Voice of Spring | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lucky Girl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Duckphat | 30.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Electric Youth | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rainbow Gal | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bankers Daughter | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Brew | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Steal My Heart | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Caramocha | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shesasuperfreak | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cheatham Hill | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pendolino | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vienna Code | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Iced Latte | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Obsession | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dollar Mountain | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Teetotaler | 0.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Suspended Campaign | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 7 | Afleeting Glance | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Love Me Tomorrow | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 8 | Hebat | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Make Or Break | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Funny Bones Flag | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Rosies Surprise | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Happycrest | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Magnificent Mags | 50.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Positive Power | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tornado Crossing | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | She’s an Alpha | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Traffic Lane | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Freddymo Factor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hohohoho | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.