April 24, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | First Captain | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mahaamel | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pipeline | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bode O | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Repo Rocks | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Whirlwind Ride | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ghostconqueror | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Classic Colors | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Destinationwnrscir | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magnetique | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Pandamom | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | English Breeze | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9A | 7 | Cara’s Dreamer | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sky Kitten | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Chasing Cara | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Gringotts | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Latin Casino | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Winston | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Somebody | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Queens Jules | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Phil | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thin White Duke | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | High Opinion | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Publication | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Hear You | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stolen Holiday | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Fawzia | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cherokee Song | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Runabout | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roaming Union | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hammerin Aamer | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heavy Roller | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | I Love Jaxson | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kumar | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chief Know It All | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | King of American | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ekhtibaar | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Allured | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Newsworthy | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hombre | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cambi Lion | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shaftesbury | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mutasallem | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Welshman | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Caveat Emptor | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mandatory | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flying With Angels | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bail Out | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rudy Rod | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Iron Giant | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Looking At Bikinis | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Stonehenge | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Power | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mihos | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wicked Trick | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | T Loves a Fight | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | War Tocsin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Elusive Quality S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Casa Creed | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Therapist | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seismic Wave | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Value Proposition (GB) | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Front Run the Fed | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Proven Strategies | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Olympic Runner | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tell Your Daddy | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Drink a Toast | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Strong Desire | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Me ‘n Sap | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Paynt the Edges | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Canyon of Heros | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Flipping Fun | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Med School Michael | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Freudian Analyst | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ratchet | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hoping and Praying | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Unlikely | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Mr. Buckley | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Leas Talkin Alot | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alite | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Gongheifatchoy | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.