April 11, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Starship Sky | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nicole Grace | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Passion | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blazinonbayou | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Keep It Classy | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Slewpys Last Song | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dual Reality | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Fabozzi | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leprino | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Big Bad Gary | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kenzou’s Rhythm | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Justin’s Quest | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Doncic | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Flatter | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perfecto Amor | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Barraza | 1.20 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roadside | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cross Indian | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bristol Bayou | 0.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ballet de Cour | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Out Joy | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Varoma | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dynapower | 50.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Arch | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Mistress | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Agreetodisagree | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Article | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | K P Kan Do | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mama Superior | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing Dana | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shanghai Sunrise | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Warren’s Memorable | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Go Daddy Go | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wedding Groom | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American Dancer | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Takeo | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Invictatatus | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | It’s Fitting | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Caparegime | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stressed | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ginja | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bowl of Cherries | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen of Arendell | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flaps Up | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jeanne B | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Li’l Grazen | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jan Jan Can | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Miss Ellie | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trina | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kleen Karma | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Homehome | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liberalism | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Time for Ebby | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vella | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Uncaged Kitty | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Tigress | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Cali Girl | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Life’s Emotions | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saturday Heist | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mamas Got Cash | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chiquita Piquita | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | V Bucks | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.