April 11, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Union Gap | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mutakaamil | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mighty Tough | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chosen Few | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Macho Real | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Readthetranscript | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | William Boy | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Endless Front | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kitten Tales | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Champagne Ivy | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cultured | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Never At All (FR) | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Know How (GB) | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Actress | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vintage Style | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dream About Me | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Foxtrot Seville | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | The Right Stuff (GB) | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Likeable | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yes This Time | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tio Magico | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Broadway | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Advance Cash | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Caxambas Candy | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Boca Guy | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cowboy At Heart | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fighting Force | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Champagne Salute | 0.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hitech Is Back | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Potion | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Flashy Too | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Everthree | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fear the Deer | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Einstein | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Liams Star | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Curve | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dramatic Kitten | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Marisa’s Mission | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dream of Anfield | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gandolfo | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Couch Dreams | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | True Identity | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thirsty Owl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gemo | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Reign Man | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deckology | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cash Now | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Brother | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flaming Hot | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Red Flag Alert | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Love Life | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | He Ain’t No Saint | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweeney’s Cat | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Coach Paul | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lightning Rod Carl | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Lil Crown | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | R Guitar Casino | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Torque | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Neverenoughcoco | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Star Deputy | 50.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hard Astray | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Classy Beast | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Abarrio Forever | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rain | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ms Big Spring | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Akor | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mrs. Maisel | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blessed Beast | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shes One Mad Momma | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miz Chaplin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lalali | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gitana | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bramble Berry | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shes All Woman | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caffeine Rush | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Levy Land | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Luann | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | Piper | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Playera | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Competti | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kayla’s Tune | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Dancing Empress | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Trinni Girls | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bella Gabriella | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Miss Constitution | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Party Swagger | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Fior Di Latte | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Lady Mary | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.