Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 10, 2021

April 10, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Littlebitamedal 1.80 2.3 4-1
5 5 Handsome Cat 2.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Posterize 2.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Single Me Out 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Owning 20.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Antithetical 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Phantom Dance 1.60 1.9 4-1
5 5 Papale 2.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Lone Scout 2.50 2.4 4-1
4 4 Royal Orb 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 My Summer Dream 5.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Luckys Last Stand 1.20 2.3 4-1
3 3 Sir Williams Dream 12.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Gerlach’s 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 Gordy’s Boy 2.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 No Malice 4.50 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 It’s a Riddle 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Saving Sophie 2.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Bella Renella 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Stormin Ranger 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Your Royal Coil 3.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Chollima 6.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Moon Mischief 1.80 2.3 4-1
5 5 Prince Magician 2.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Count Alexei 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Stir the Pot 2.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Towing 5.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Dancing in Paris 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wrecking Crew 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Exaulted 1.20 SCRATCH
6 6 California Street 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Golden Star Rock 15.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Colt Fiction 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Tizhotndusty 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Howbeit 5.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Colosi 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Conquest Cobra 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Causeididitmyway 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Truth Seeker 2.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Contagion 4.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Swamp Souffle 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bold Endeavor 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Ekklesia 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Charlito 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Lambeau 5.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Royal Act 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Taishan 4.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Sash (GB) 5.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Heywoods Beach 20.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Country Grammer 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Medusa’s Gaze 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Big Al’s Princess 5.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Kind But She Lies 3.50 4.5 9-1
12 12 Season to Remember 20.00 5 9-1
3 3 Best of Show 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Ensleys Dream 5.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Molokini 20.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Lulu D’ Oro 6.00 6.6 13-1
10 10 Phillips Lane 15.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Evening Anchor 15.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Life’s Emotions 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Brio Is Awesome 30.00 11.2 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.