Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 10, 2021

April 10, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Charlotte the Brit 3.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Our Little Devil 2.50 3 6-1
3 3 Henni Penny 3.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Ms Headley 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Fast Catalina 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Happy Loudon 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 My Little Rose 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Soothing 30.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sassy Beast 4.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Roadhouse Blues 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Include the Beast 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Heart of God 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Hidden Dreams 5.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Elliereeseaston 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Romantical Note 12.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Merzaz 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Kick in the Gas 3.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Fog Bound 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Eamonn 4.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Nacozari 12.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 The Best Distance 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Mutaraafeq 8.00 4 8-1
10 10 Political Riot 12.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Palemma 20.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Higher Law 30.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Flamingo Hawk 2.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Ensign Parker 2.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Bailey 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Awesome Beach 4.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Florala Al 6.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 H P Big Hope 10.00 5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gigantic 3.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Twelve Volt Man 2.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Meetmeinkingston 2.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Nuzhat 5.00 2 4-1
6 6 Cajun Moon 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Hierro 20.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Successful One 20.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Real Doozie 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Kitten’s Romance 4.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Centsless Drama 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 R Calli Kim 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Little Bit Good 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Twirling Star 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Classical Magic 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Copper 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Q F Seventy Five 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Rabdan 4.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Prayer Book 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Tidal Forces 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Six Minus 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 See Out 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Straight Up Guy 8.00 6 11-1
7 7 Staten Island 10.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tons of Gold 6.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Causalistic 1.20 2.6 5-1
7 7 Strong Ending 5.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Ingreido 3.50 3 6-1
5 5 Memorable 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Red Fog 20.00 5 9-1
8 8 Midnight Whiskey 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Ninetydaysofwinter 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Shanghai Moon 30.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jet Speed 3.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Counterstrike 5.00 2 4-1
4 4 Voodoo Zip 2.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Small Talk 4.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 He’spuregold 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Kake’scharmingboy 15.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Jerry’s Turn 20.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Keyboard Warrior 20.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Ride the Curl 30.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Don’t Get Khozy 1.60 2.6 5-1
6 6 Our Fantasy 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Subsidiary 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Judy’s Way 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Addilyn 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Global Ambition 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Puppet Master 10.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Uncle Curly 4.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Twenty Four Seven 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 Dover Cliffs 5.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Tusk 4.00 3 6-1
10 10 Farley 12.00 5 9-1
4 4 Zippy 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Ambassador Jim 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Face of Victory 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Tale of Kantharos 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Burn the Boats 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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