April 10, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Charlotte the Brit | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Our Little Devil | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Henni Penny | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ms Headley | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Catalina | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Happy Loudon | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Little Rose | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Soothing | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sassy Beast | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roadhouse Blues | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Include the Beast | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heart of God | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hidden Dreams | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elliereeseaston | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Romantical Note | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Merzaz | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kick in the Gas | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fog Bound | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eamonn | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nacozari | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Best Distance | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mutaraafeq | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Political Riot | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Palemma | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Higher Law | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Flamingo Hawk | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ensign Parker | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bailey | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Beach | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Florala Al | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | H P Big Hope | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gigantic | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twelve Volt Man | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Meetmeinkingston | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nuzhat | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Moon | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hierro | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Successful One | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Real Doozie | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kitten’s Romance | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Centsless Drama | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | R Calli Kim | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Bit Good | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twirling Star | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Classical Magic | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Copper | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Q F Seventy Five | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rabdan | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prayer Book | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tidal Forces | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Six Minus | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | See Out | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Straight Up Guy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Staten Island | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tons of Gold | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Causalistic | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strong Ending | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ingreido | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Memorable | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Fog | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Whiskey | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ninetydaysofwinter | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Moon | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jet Speed | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Counterstrike | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Voodoo Zip | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Small Talk | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | He’spuregold | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kake’scharmingboy | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jerry’s Turn | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Keyboard Warrior | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ride the Curl | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Get Khozy | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Fantasy | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Subsidiary | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Judy’s Way | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Addilyn | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Global Ambition | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Puppet Master | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Curly | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twenty Four Seven | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dover Cliffs | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tusk | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Farley | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zippy | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ambassador Jim | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Face of Victory | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tale of Kantharos | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Burn the Boats | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.