April 10, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Scuttlebuzz | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Disciplanarian | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amistad | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Red Mule | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Destiny | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Future Book | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hudson Overpass | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Halstaat | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Florida Endeavour | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Dang It | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | False Alarm | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Deputy Flag | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Zoikes (FR) | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Creative Cairo | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Bonnie T | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gabby Squared | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Girl | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harlem Heights | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wow | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strong Point | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Little Nutter | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Romp | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | American Gentleman | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blu Grotto | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Respect for All | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Purple Hearted | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Centavo | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jimmy the Kid | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Echoes of Destiny | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Re Created | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Guardian Moon | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fresco | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | More Glitter | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Snicket | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moana’s Tale | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caramocha | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lune Lake | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ifihadachance | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Top Flight Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Queen Nekia | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Horologist | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Stride | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mrs. Danvers | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thankful | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flashndynamite | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vettori Kin (BRZ) | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gearhead | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Thought | 1.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King of Spades | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chief Know It All | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Castagno | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hero’s Hope | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Manifest Destiny | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beta | 50.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Danebury | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Supreme Aura | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | American Lincoln | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Flowers for Lisa | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Yankee Division | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Family Biz | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Bourbon | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Swing | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arham | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ananroad | 50.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Star | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Aasr | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Danger’s Hour S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Delaware (GB) | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hieronymus | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Decorated Invader | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rinaldi | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Analyze It | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Penalty | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiberius Mercurius | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zoomer | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Price Talk | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hotel Charlie | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Micro Me | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pave It | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kikkerland | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Joey Loose Lips | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hangout | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Kaz | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flipping Fun | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Liquor | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bustin Bieber | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.