April 2, 2021 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Bohemian Frost | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Dream Fly | 1.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Offaly Fast | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 9 | An Apple a Day | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Jamaican Traffic | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Saucy Lady T | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Violent Move | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Baytown Valleygirl | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Iggy Bigs | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Remanded | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aunt Nadine | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rising Seas | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jeannie’s Beepbeep | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cause I’m Edgy | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coldwater | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Midnight Pass | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Royal County | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Magniloquent | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Bode by You | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | American Bound | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Marlin Quay | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Little Lucerito | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Opalia | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Kanpai | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Carribean Caper | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beautiful Memories | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Splendid News | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Divine Comedy | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alexandria | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hindsight | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fortuity | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sounion | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Win d’Oro | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Gear Jockey | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Azrael | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bullseye Bun | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Inhalation (GB) | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La La Land (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Falkirk | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Briefcase Bully | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lake Nakuru | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | King Snake | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 14 | Money for Mischief | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 15 | Motagally | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Roughin the City | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shoshoni Moon | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stand by You | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alydiva | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bahama Mischief | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Suchada | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Magic Quest | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miner’s Queen | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sa Foradada | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Distorted Verve | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hard to Access | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lovemesomeme | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Christmas Poem | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Front Street | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Palisades Turf Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chasing Artie | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fauci | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unitedandresolute | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blameworthy | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lock Up | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bodenheimer | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smokin’ Jay | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookin for Loki | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | J C’s Champ | 50.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rustler | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Beaumont S. Presented By Keeneland Select
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Slumber Party | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twenty Carat | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amalfi Princess | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Farsighted | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Girl Red | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cilla | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Traveler | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Kentucky Utilities Transylvania S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fire At Will | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scarlett Sky | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Earls Rock (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Palazzi | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barrister Tom | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Breadman | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Precipitate | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Temper Mint Twist | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Be Like Water | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Illiogami | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gigi B. | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chione | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Suki | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Bourbon | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Waiting On William | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.