March 28, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | By Moonlight | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Club | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | In Vronsky Style | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Luck Is Golden | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beaudacious | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Master Diamond | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Cosmic Cowgirl | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bristol Bayou | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Big Passion | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | La V. | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Backtoflash | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vronsky Zips Away | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Lost In Space (IRE) | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Du Jour | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hubris | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Styledome (IRE) | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Endless Sunset | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Coastal King | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trojan Clubhouse | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Roan Ranger | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Musical Gem | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Today Matters | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Call Nine One One | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Careless Kitten | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bravestone | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Holy Emperor | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ox Bridge | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Labor Union | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Got Curly | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Commanding Chief | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Ray | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mount Pelliar | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mongolian Kingdom | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Compellus | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Indy | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prince Magician | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bushido’s Way | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Silent Musketier | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Magic On Tap | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Palace Coup | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Adare | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Offshore Affair | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Potantico | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Two Thirty Five | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mulberry Street | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go Daddy Go | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Legend | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Velvet | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jibber Jabber (IRE) | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rhythm and Grace | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hyland Haven | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quick Time (GB) | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Damn the Torpedoes | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ragged Rose | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | For the Good Times | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Whistler’s Style | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mongolian Mission | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Santana Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mastering | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Growth Engine | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fashionably Fast | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Major Cabbie | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ax Man | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Restrainedvengence | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Next Revolt | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Threearchbaymafia | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Western Smoke | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Question Authority | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speakerofthehouse | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just a Command | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bam Bam Again | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Show Business | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Git On Your Pulpit | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bird | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.