March 21, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Liar Liar (IRE) | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hoop Dream | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rager | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chasing Fame | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Talking | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Constitutionaffair | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Witch’s Vow | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Our Bonnie Lass | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Partyatthecapital | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Keep It Classy | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Slewpys Last Song | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Watch the Fed | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bandeena | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Big Clare | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alot of Magic | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunshine Babe | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warrior Lady | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Striking Tigress | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mensa On Tap | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Bigly | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paige Runner | 1.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Jamboree | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Window | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tip Top Gal | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Equilove (IRE) | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Macarena | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cielo d’Oro | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nobu | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flaps Up | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bowl of Cherries | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Xmas Surprise | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Long Legs | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Info’s Treasure | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gotta Be Lucky | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Square | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Realrealgood | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pasito | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Sensational Star S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jamming Eddy | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brandothebartender | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Margot’s Boy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Desmond Doss | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jetovator | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Trump | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prodigal Son | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | El Centenario | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pelican Way | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Synsky | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Betito | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stir the Pot | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Ryan Seven | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Salah | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sounds Sweet | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chosen Moon | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Stock | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jungle Boy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Wheres My Cookies | 50.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Honos Man | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boru | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Troutman | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seeking Refuge | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lord Wimborne (IRE) | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | M Town Gem | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sky Confidential | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mantra | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sly | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.