March 20, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lalic (FR) | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | New Drama | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Sonny | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Predictable Tully (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Bourbon | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chiquita Piquita | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Soulmate | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shout It Out | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | None Above the Law | 0.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kennebec | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gabby Hayes | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Club Cal | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cashlings | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wedding Groom | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Armour Plate | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hard Count | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Full Draw | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Foothill | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Invictatatus | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Palace Prince | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shuster | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Thrive | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’ll Stand Taller | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crash Corrigan | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Atomic Drop | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Count Tolstoy | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Funkenstein | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tartini | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red King | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oscar Dominguez (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Stiff | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ward ‘n Jerry | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Heatwave | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lure Him In | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | New Year | 50.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Street Behavior | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Robin’s Legacy | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Czechmight | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prince Ricky | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brazilian Summer | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Speakerofthehouse | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zorich | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kodiaction | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – San Luis Rey S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Masteroffoxhounds | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | United | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Say the Word | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Acclimate | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Multiplier | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wilson Monk | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fratelli | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | El Diablo Rojo | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | See Through It | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Curry | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shady Empire | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Neah Bay | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | No Foolery Here | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Eagle Chief | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Enough Nonsense | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Airman | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hudson Ridge | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Man Friday | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Batukhan (IRE) | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Granada Flavor | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lalalandhellraiser | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lone Scout | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Special Mission | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pro Bono | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.