March 19, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cargo | 0.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hail Freedom | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Coupe | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bukayo | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whiskey Talk | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catfish Charlie | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Armaveer | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fabozzi | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest Cobra | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Impression | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leprino | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Super Classic | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Hard Metal | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Simmer Down | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sleep Over | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sky Navigator | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Royal Orb | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Racing Ace | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Best Dance | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stone’s River | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Short Rib | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Commander (FR) | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ghoul (BRZ) | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chasin Munny | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thanks Mr. Eidson | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sash (GB) | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Restiany (GB) | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Lady Aces | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Caparegime | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sharapova | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stressed | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Stella Noir | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | American Heights | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Assignation | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just Distorted | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Beauty | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Disko Fever | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Michalska | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Stretch | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | St Helena | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Super Game | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Clayton Delaney | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coalinga Road | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gov From Above | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lightning Fast | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Autisms World | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hapi Hapi | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Warrens Candy Man | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Circleofchampions | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Star | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Standing O | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alexander’s Dream | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Flint | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gordy’s Boy | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.