March 12, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Clearly Gone | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Little Bird (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Flawless (FR) | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hurley | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sugary | 2.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tizno’s Dilemma | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Charette | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wind Tartare (FR) | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quinnie | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Posh Holly (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Sherilinda | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Hoffman | 0.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mongol Altai | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paisano | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lord Vader | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiger’s Song | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Derby War | 30.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twirling Derby | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Landaa | 50.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | On Mars | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ippodamia’s Girl | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Laura’s Light | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Trickle In | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Moonhall Milly (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Catch the Eye | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss Bigly | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Neige Blanche (FR) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | She’s Our Charm | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Missy P. | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rattrapante | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reem | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Panther | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | River Girl | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shell Shock | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Ride | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Burnin Turf | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hammering Lemon | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | One Fast Bro | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | George Herman Ruth | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kakistocracy | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | It’s Fitting | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Crooked Finger Ray | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tizhotndusty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Rather Nosy | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Saving Sophie | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ballet de Cour | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Flat Out Joy | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Blazing Charm | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dim Lights | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Alegria | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Disappearing Act | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Witch Moon | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Crocker | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Diva | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | In the Wind | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’ll Do It for You | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lakaya | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aristeia | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Adare | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Howbeit | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Will Not | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Canadian Pride | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Colt Fiction | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Single Me Out | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Deuce | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Took Charge | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.