February 28, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Solemn Oath | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chewy Chewy Good | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perks d’Oro | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Creative Legacy | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jlohr Jan | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Making Progress | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Escape | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Utani | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 10 | Random Affair | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sharp Willy | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Only Icon | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Rock City Rocket | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Risky Situation | 3.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Double Bogey | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hoss J W | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Runawaypoint | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cool Cat Jones | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Grand Rocket | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | My Little Tip | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Unbridled Shoes | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cinnamon Victory | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Lime Tree Valley | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Red Bottom Rebel | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Frenchie Frou Frou | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mandamus | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Collude | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Tater | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kilbarry Lady | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Peek a Boo I See U | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Sheshappy | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My City Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Clear Steps | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Golden Tiger | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | K W Captain Hook | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Something Super | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Town Drunk | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hurricane Jake | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Seek N Justice | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Collection | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dark Ninja | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Grand Atlantic | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Oakley | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Firehorn | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Brechin’s Command | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Triple Scout | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scarlet Position | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toni Ann’s Miracle | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | War Ballad | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fleeta Belle | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Tatum | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | J P’s Gladys | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Texas Music | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | R Marie | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Dixie Belle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mariah’s Princess | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Abrogate | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Goin’ Good | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Windmill | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Time | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Twenty | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heart Full of Soul | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Someone Said So | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Outasite | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whiskey Double | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bob’s Edge | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Causeway Jones | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lawlessness | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Edge to Edge | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Xtreme Mayhem | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lock Up | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Citi Charm | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Downthedustyroad Breeders’ S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bye Bye J | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Proud Victoria | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | The Mary Rose | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sekani | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Matapan | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiddly | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Antioch | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dutch Treat | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Savedbyanangel | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiger Bait | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Oochie | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Grace | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Bayakoa S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Finite | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Monomoy Girl | 1.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Super Freak | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Another Broad | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Istan Council | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chance to Shine | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Aura | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Auction Fever | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Josie | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Graysonsmacho Gal | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wildwood’s Beauty | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glamour Girl | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Escape Fund | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s All Wolfe | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Miss Moon Pie | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hashtag Winner | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mocha Kiss | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady McKenzie | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.