February 28, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Jarlian | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pacific Legend | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arrowheart | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Macho Real | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Einstein | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kathern’s Joy | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maxi Moon | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Landbiscuit | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Political Riot | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lightning Rod | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Congrats Again | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Now a Jaguar | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Big Blue | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | City Magic | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Eye of Horus | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tellington | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Luann | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ill Will | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hold the Applause | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Destroyer | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cookie Cove | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Freezer Burn | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Over There | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Smok’n | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Publicly Available | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Harvard | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dupuis | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Prince | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Corrado | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Full Charge | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Naco | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Never At All (FR) | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First Hour | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Jar | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trevise | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spill the Tea | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | In Vain | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Actually | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zia’s Song | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Black Swan | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Glory of Florida | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quenane | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blessed Journey | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Create Again | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fort Peck | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Danville | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Max K. O. | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Avenue | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Southern District | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cambi Lion | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Warn | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spotters Hill (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cellist | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ginsburned | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Agent Creed | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Staten Island | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Feeding Frenzy | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Carrobio | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | It’s a Risk | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tons of Gold | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cool Hand Coop | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chill Haze | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Whiskey | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Saint Larned | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Purecrazidude | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Baby Brother | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Memorable | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Senzazione | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Alexander Valley | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Aviano | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Megayacht | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Sea Cottage (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Advanced Placement | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | He’spuregold | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Potus | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pregame | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Straight Up Guy | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Grey Streak | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Cory Gal | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eve of War | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sound Machine | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Still Alive | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sonar | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nightlife | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ghostly Beauty | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hurricane Breeze | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Freddymo Factor | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Derby Day | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I’ll Do It My Way | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Philly Special | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smack | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spin Your Partner | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majic Flash | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jade Empress | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Rings | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | No Decaf | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mon Petit Chou | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Think It Thru | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Psychic Ability | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starship Nana | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dem a Wonder | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Zaffing | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Noble Name | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Starship Nterprise | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Foxtrot Seville | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dreaming of Audrey | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Empire | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Deep Water Cay | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Keitany | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cuzzywuzzy | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Best Cause | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Take Me as I Am | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | High Fashion | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Except Temptation | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smart Spending | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.