February 28, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Coal Shaft | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Incandescent | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Strong Point | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tekila | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Iaintfraidanoghost | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bravo Regina | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dial Me Up | 1.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cadeau de Paix | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mind of Gold | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quasar | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sky Kitten | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jasminesque | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Empty Tomb | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tenderfoot | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zoomer | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chestertown | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Danny California | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fed Funds | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | French Toast | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Ajhar | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My First Grammy | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Gray for Carolyn | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Esor | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zuzudini | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cherokee Song | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Invaluable | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sirenic | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Glass Ceiling | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forever Changed | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mrs. S | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dovey Lovey | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elegant Zip | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Popizar | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Clench | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Topper T | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Reed Kan | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Honorable Service | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Square Shooter | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ajnadeen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | The Sicarii | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mihos | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Wicked Trick | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Letmetakethiscall | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Honor Up | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mad Munnys | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | T Loves a Fight | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sunny Ridge | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kiss’n Mission | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Sinashack | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Yerosilverbiz | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ask Neal | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Black ‘n Tan | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Awesome Yet Again | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | We Ready | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Twisted Sunset | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.