February 27, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Discretionary Day | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Talker | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seattle Bold | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hockey Dad | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crossword | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Club Cal | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pubilius Syrus | 0.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Synthesis | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Wind | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kenzou’s Rhythm | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Self Taught | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | That’s Amare | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kalon | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crazy Speighty | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Aura | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shell Shock | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Impression | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blame It On Kitty | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Contagion | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Six Point Rack | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flip the Coin Jan | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Studly Perfection | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Terrible Ted | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ruthies Racer | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Righteously | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mucha Woman | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Mistress | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Exchange Vows | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Papale | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Got Curly | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | El Joy | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soulong | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Willy the Cobbler | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Space Odessey | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mahaamel (IRE) | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mount Pelliar | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hubris | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Compellus | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Handr’sdream | 1.20 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Diva’s Finale | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cousin Eddie | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Whiskey Vision | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Philly Cheese | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Big Discount | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 6 | My Only Mission | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coastal King | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flactem Legacy | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Pasadena S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rock Your World | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cathkin Peak (IRE) | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Commander Khai | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Flag | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Harlan Estate | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mac Daddy Too | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Threearchbaymafia | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malakai Moxie | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hallowed Gift | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eskimo Roses | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zorich | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fort McHenry | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bird | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brazilian Summer | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dapper | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Final Rose | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.