February 27, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 3 | Bitumen | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
8 | 7 | Drill’s Li’l Man | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
7 | 6 | He’s Meant to Be | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Ace Destroyer | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
6 | 5 | Kitchen Fire | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
3 | 2 | Tentwelvefourteen | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
1 | 1 | Unscathed | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
9 | 8 | Sharp Art | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
2 | 2 | All Star Red | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | La Pulcinela | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
12 | 10 | Northern Diamond | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
4 | 3 | Gravitron | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
9 | 7 | Simona’s Choice | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
8 | 6 | Kowgirl Kirby | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
10 | 8 | Fortuna Adiuvat | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
11 | 9 | X Marks the Spot | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
7 | 5 | Renegade Sunset | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
3 | 2 | Forever Home | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
5 | 4 | Little Sure Shot | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
2 | 2 | Playfulmisssamurai | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Diva Rosa | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | I’m Stylin | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 7 | Kowboy Karma | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
7 | 6 | Mississippi | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Sedaris | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
10 | 9 | Intrepid Heart | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
4 | 3 | Shakes Creek | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
3 | 2 | Here Comes Doc | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
6 | 5 | Secret House | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
2 | 1 | Bobby Baby | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
9 | 8 | Wickets Way | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
1 | 1 | Driven to Compete | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | Euroexit | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Perfect Sense | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Incorrigible | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Gallant Plunger | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Derby Code | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Turn the Switch | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
10 | 10 | Fast Recovery | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
8 | 8 | Mau Mau | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Handy | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | Chase Tracker | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 5 | Davidic Line | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
7 | 4 | General Trev | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
13 | 10 | Rogallo | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
9 | 6 | Southside Swig | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
12 | 9 | East Moon Lake | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
11 | 8 | Cold Smoke | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
1 | 1 | Haydens Havoc | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
5 | 2 | Jimmie T | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
10 | 7 | Soldier Boy | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
2 | 2 | Perfect Mistake | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Screen Star | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Jackman | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Bode’s Light | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 3 | Hard to Park | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 3 | Aasr | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
10 | 8 | Amani’s Eagle | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
12 | 10 | Lngtermrelationshp | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
14 | 12 | Atoka | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
2 | 1 | Blue Steel | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
6 | 5 | Coach Bahe | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
13 | 11 | Santos Dumont | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
5 | 4 | Totally Jimbo | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
7 | 6 | Great Faces | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
9 | 7 | Alex Joon | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
11 | 9 | Background | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
1 | 1 | Ucanthankmelater | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Meistermind | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 2 | Uphold | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Razorback H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Mystic Guide | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Owendale | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Hunka Burning Love | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Silver Prospector | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Rated R Superstar | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Long Range Toddy | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | Mailman Money | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Spring Fever S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 6 | Kimari | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
4 | 2 | Casual | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
7 | 4 | Shesomajestic | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
3 | 1 | Amy’s Challenge | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
6 | 3 | Ain’t No Elmers | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
8 | 5 | Best Kept Secret | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
1 | 1 | Cashcheckorcharge | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 2 | Sunny Dale | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Headland | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 1 | Reserve | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
13 | 12 | Molto Vivace | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
10 | 9 | Name Rejected | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
9 | 8 | Stilleto Boy | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
12 | 11 | Right Tone | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
6 | 5 | Lazaretto | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
8 | 7 | Test of Will | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
5 | 4 | My Favorite Uncle | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
11 | 10 | Pizza Charlie | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
7 | 6 | Cost Average | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
3 | 2 | Bamalama | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
1 | 1 | Violent Gigi | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Grapnel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 3 | Navy Seal | 30.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Southwest S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Essential Quality | 1.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Jackie’s Warrior | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Spielberg | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Last Samurai | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Woodhouse | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Saffa’s Day | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | Santa Cruiser | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | All West | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
8 | 8 | Beaver Hat | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
14 | 12 | Chris and Dave | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
10 | 10 | Lone Rock | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
6 | 6 | Warrior’s Map | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
9 | 9 | Dunph | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Sonny Smack | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
7 | 7 | Arrival | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
12 | 11 | American Dubai | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
3 | 3 | Easy Shot | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
1 | 1 | Muralist | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
11 | 11 | Bruder Bob | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Spa City | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | What a Country | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.