Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 27, 2021

February 27, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Bitumen 3.00 2.7 5-1
8 7 Drill’s Li’l Man 2.50 3.5 7-1
7 6 He’s Meant to Be 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Ace Destroyer 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Kitchen Fire 5.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 Tentwelvefourteen 10.00 6 11-1
1 1 Unscathed 20.00 7 13-1
9 8 Sharp Art 20.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 All Star Red 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 La Pulcinela 3.50 3.4 6-1
12 10 Northern Diamond 2.50 3.7 7-1
4 3 Gravitron 5.00 5.2 10-1
9 7 Simona’s Choice 4.50 5.3 10-1
8 6 Kowgirl Kirby 8.00 6.4 12-1
10 8 Fortuna Adiuvat 30.00 6.9 13-1
11 9 X Marks the Spot 20.00 7 13-1
7 5 Renegade Sunset 20.00 8.3 16-1
3 2 Forever Home 20.00 9.4 18-1
5 4 Little Sure Shot 30.00 9.9 19-1
2 2 Playfulmisssamurai 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Diva Rosa 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 I’m Stylin 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Kowboy Karma 3.50 3 6-1
7 6 Mississippi 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Sedaris 4.00 4 8-1
10 9 Intrepid Heart 2.50 4.2 8-1
4 3 Shakes Creek 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 2 Here Comes Doc 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Secret House 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 1 Bobby Baby 20.00 5.3 10-1
9 8 Wickets Way 30.00 8.2 16-1
1 1 Driven to Compete 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Euroexit 4.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Perfect Sense 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Incorrigible 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Gallant Plunger 3.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Derby Code 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Turn the Switch 2.50 3.7 7-1
10 10 Fast Recovery 12.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Mau Mau 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Handy 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Chase Tracker 30.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Davidic Line 3.50 4.2 8-1
7 4 General Trev 2.50 4.3 8-1
13 10 Rogallo 10.00 6 11-1
9 6 Southside Swig 4.50 6.6 12-1
12 9 East Moon Lake 10.00 7.2 14-1
11 8 Cold Smoke 30.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Haydens Havoc 8.00 7.8 15-1
5 2 Jimmie T 20.00 8.1 15-1
10 7 Soldier Boy 30.00 9.7 18-1
2 2 Perfect Mistake 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Screen Star 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Jackman 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Bode’s Light 5.00 SCRATCH
6 3 Hard to Park 20.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Aasr 2.50 2.8 5-1
10 8 Amani’s Eagle 3.50 3.1 6-1
12 10 Lngtermrelationshp 5.00 3.5 7-1
14 12 Atoka 15.00 3.8 7-1
2 1 Blue Steel 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Coach Bahe 4.00 6.1 12-1
13 11 Santos Dumont 15.00 6.3 12-1
5 4 Totally Jimbo 15.00 7.2 14-1
7 6 Great Faces 20.00 9 17-1
9 7 Alex Joon 20.00 9.4 18-1
11 9 Background 20.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Ucanthankmelater 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Meistermind 8.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Uphold 30.00 11.3 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Razorback H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mystic Guide 1.80 2.1 4-1
4 4 Owendale 2.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Hunka Burning Love 4.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Silver Prospector 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Rated R Superstar 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Long Range Toddy 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Mailman Money 10.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Spring Fever S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 6 Kimari 2.00 2.2 4-1
4 2 Casual 5.00 3.4 6-1
7 4 Shesomajestic 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 1 Amy’s Challenge 2.50 3.7 7-1
6 3 Ain’t No Elmers 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 5 Best Kept Secret 20.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Cashcheckorcharge 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Sunny Dale 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Headland 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Reserve 4.50 1.8 3-1
13 12 Molto Vivace 2.50 2.6 5-1
10 9 Name Rejected 3.00 3.1 6-1
9 8 Stilleto Boy 3.50 3.8 7-1
12 11 Right Tone 6.00 4 8-1
6 5 Lazaretto 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Test of Will 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 4 My Favorite Uncle 20.00 5.9 11-1
11 10 Pizza Charlie 15.00 6.3 12-1
7 6 Cost Average 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 2 Bamalama 20.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Violent Gigi 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Grapnel 6.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Navy Seal 30.00 11.4 22-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Southwest S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Essential Quality 1.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Jackie’s Warrior 1.60 2.5 5-1
7 7 Spielberg 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Last Samurai 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Woodhouse 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Saffa’s Day 10.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Santa Cruiser 12.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 All West 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Beaver Hat 3.50 3.5 7-1
14 12 Chris and Dave 4.50 3.7 7-1
10 10 Lone Rock 4.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Warrior’s Map 5.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Dunph 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Sonny Smack 8.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Arrival 12.00 6.7 13-1
12 11 American Dubai 8.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Easy Shot 20.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Muralist 12.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 Bruder Bob 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Spa City 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 What a Country 20.00 11.2 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.