February 27, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Outamine | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 5 | Chambliss | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2B | 7 | Slam’s Man | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Disapproval | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 8 | Richard Ronald | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Cat On the Roof | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Friendlyproduction | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Farewell Time | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Nice Work | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rock Me | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zypto | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Red Clay Magic | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Park Ridge Benny | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rock On Kitten | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Homeland Messa | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bye Bye Shanghai | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Code Duello | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Tap | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Novgorod the Great | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fed Money | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sir Giannis | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Poirier | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Air Force Angel | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blushinstreetdevil | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gunner Paul | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Halfbarberbingie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Delightfullywicked | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Whiskey Plank | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Black Hawk Ridge | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Emerald Forest | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boornazian | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | B W P Special | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awe Shackle | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Not a Nyki | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Powerful Man | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pasion Azteca | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | I Hear You | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | More Than Unusual | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Declarationwarrior | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Veruca | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Fate Factor | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Microcap | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fireside Kitten | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Alba’s Star | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Moral Reasoning | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tipsy Gal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | April’s No Fool | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Powder River | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Sweet Blindness | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Love Enough | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | San Destin | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seascape | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dynamite Gift | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Run Cookie Run | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Torch of Honor | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Dixie Poker Ace S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ninety One Assault | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Relentless Dancer | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Afleet Ascent | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Budro Talking | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Treys Midnite Moon | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jus Lively | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | In the Navy | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maga Man | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Four Sevens | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Luwegee | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Echoesoftime | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Play Unified | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Suzie’s Dream | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Have No Fear | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Yes Gorgeous | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Diva’s Ransom | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Silver Squall | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | New Year’s Party | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hiclass Production | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mia O Maya | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Black Gold S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Palazzi | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fulsome | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Prince | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Excess Magic | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dyn O Mite | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | T D Dance | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ghostlighter | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookin for Loki | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kinetic Sky | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Linda Got Lucky | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Business Lady | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Here Comes Linda | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dad’s Star Cat | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brightnmorningstar | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Maybe | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dare to Hope | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Heart Dominus | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smackfire | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.