February 26, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Pickens | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Saintsgotrobbed | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Herewecometogetyou | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shackle the Gold | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Midnight Spirit | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Nocomet | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Callinginthenight | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roux Ga Roux | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alliaceous | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marywood | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mila’s Gold | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Hustle | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Savvy Shipman | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lone Star Diva | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Money Well Spent | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bellamy Cay | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sebs Princess | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Special Connection | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Star Prado | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ezee Enough | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Be Gone | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Commercial Flash | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hey Grace | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runpeggyrun | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spider Legs | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crypto Brave | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Peastoch | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Workout | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Princess Tine (FR) | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Paytience Pays | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Laugh It Off | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Slightly Sassy | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Girl’s On Fire | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Solar Reflection | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bee a Winner | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Forever Mesa | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Longleggedlaverne | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Lucky Dare | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Bonita Springs | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Big Red Rose | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | See What’s What | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Limage | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Over the Blues | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Close to Me | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Sundereya | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | C’Estbon C’Estbon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Katie the Cutie | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sydster | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Monte Man | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | O’L Red | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Make Me Smile | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bootsie’s Galaxy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | X Clown | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Classy John | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mageez | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Relentless Dancer | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Dixie Street | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Binding Agreement | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Soul Song | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Rahfees Man | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Outlaw X. | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Whacudposblygowrng | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Commander Scott | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Money and Me | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Louisianalightning | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sir Pokerface | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Love in the Air | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sail On Ellen | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ceant | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Take Charge Patti | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zza Zza Zoom | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tappin Into Summer | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shelby To | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maid of Honor | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sconset | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Got Wings | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bee House | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | San Destin | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Shades of Truth | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Elsie Girl | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Is Hot | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lady Churchill | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Box of Pictures | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Liberated Strife | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mercedes Ladies | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Eve’s Delight | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Girl in Black | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ruby Begonia | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holy Trinity | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.