February 26, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | The Glenmore | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bewps | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flower’s Fortune | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Dame | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Flirtacious Kiss | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elegant Laoban | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fair Lassie | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fair Regis | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amos | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sister Patricia | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Alana | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Twisted Tom | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Legit | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Storm | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grumps Little Tots | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deep Sea | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First Line | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ruvies in Time | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Jimmy | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dublinornothin | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Courageous Girl | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Impazible Donna | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fight On Lucy | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9A | 8 | Rudy Rod | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tremendous | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Gold Bear | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Kid Cash | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dazzle Time | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Realm | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Three Two Zone | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Quick Intro | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run White Rabbit | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Magnetique | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Barista Vixen | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adhwaa | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mia Bea Star | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dial Me Up | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Pendolino | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wicked Amber | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mabel Island | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Fine | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ellarella | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bank Sting | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | New York Rock Star | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | English Breeze | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ok Honey | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My My Michelle | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Alphadora | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10A | 10 | Cheatham Hill | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7A | 7 | Talespin | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Camden | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9A | 9 | Brunate | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Kaz | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alite | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Theitalianamerican | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Simbasalltrouble | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whats in It for Me | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Moonshine Maker | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freudian Analyst | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.